人口与经济Issue(2)：70-84,15.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4149.2025.02.006
家庭人口老化与代际阶层流动
Family Population Aging and Intergenerational Social Mobility:An Empirical Test Based on CGSS Micro-Data
摘要
Abstract
Low intergenerational mobility and the increasing aging population have become two prominent challenges faced by Chinese residents.Population aging has intensified the aging of family members at the micro level,thereby altering intergenerational relationships within families and reducing intergenerational mobility.Based on the pooled cross-sectional data from the Chinese General Social Survey(CGSS)from 2010 to 2021,this paper examines the negative impact of family population aging on intergenerational social mobility from a micro perspective,using the elderly dependency ratio and intergenerational class transmission as measurement indicators.The results show that the middle social class exhibits strong inheritance,with an upward trend in intergenerational transmission between the lower-middle and middle classes,while the upper-middle class faces downward mobility pressure.The phenomenon of intergenerational class solidification has been further exacerbated by family population aging,especially among families where the offspring were born after 1970,those with high-income families,and living in urban areas.In terms of the influence mechanism,family medical expenditure plays a full mediating role in the process of family population aging inhibiting the improvement of intergenerational social mobility.Therefore,this paper argues that it is urgent to design policy solutions to alleviate family elderly care pressure from the perspective of reducing medical expenditure burdens.关键词
家庭人口老化/阶层代际传递/代际阶层流动性Key words
family population aging/intergenerational class transmission/intergenerational social mobility分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
许娜,冯大威..家庭人口老化与代际阶层流动[J].人口与经济,2025,(2):70-84,15.基金项目
国家自然科学基金面上项目"机器人应用的就业极化与收入极化效应研究:理论机制、实证识别与政策"(72373057). （72373057）
