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用于市场准入条件判定的建筑需求响应潜力量化方法

邸亮 董杰 闫馨月 甄成 田喆 牛纪德

综合智慧能源2025,Vol.47Issue(3):15-22,8.
综合智慧能源2025,Vol.47Issue(3):15-22,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2097-0706.2025.03.002

用于市场准入条件判定的建筑需求响应潜力量化方法

Quantifying method for buildings'demand response potential applied to market access condition determination

邸亮 1董杰 1闫馨月 1甄成 2田喆 2牛纪德2

作者信息

  • 1. 龙源(北京)新能源工程设计研究院有限公司,北京 100034
  • 2. 天津大学 环境科学与工程学院,天津 300350
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Buildings are important potential resources for electricity demand response(DR).But the features of the power grid including lack of demand response data,diversity of physical structures and building envelopes,and complexity of consumption behaviors and meteorological conditions make it difficult to accurately and quickly calculate the DR potential of buildings,hindering the development of the DR market.Most traditional potential quantification methods are applicable to a single building.They can hardly support the judgement on the market access conditions of diverse potential users,or select the qualified target users with a review on the reliability of the declared information.To solve the problems above,a data-driven method based on the quantification of buildings'DR potential is proposed.Firstly,the input and output variables are set by considering the factors influencing the building DR potential and the requirements for the declared information.Then,the tool chain called EnergyPlus-JEPlus-Eppy is used to generate a complete dataset,improving the model generalization.Finally,a data-driven modelling approach is used to develop a potential quantification model to achieve rapid quantification of DR potential.The effectiveness of the method is verified by a typical office building in Nanjing by choosing global temperature regulation as the peak-shaving means.The results of the case show that the proposed model can keep the mean squared error(MSE)of the predicted potential within 0.009 6 with a coefficient of determination(R2)higher than 0.9.The method enables accurate quantification on DR potential for different buildings in various scenarios.

关键词

需求响应/电力市场/潜力量化/数据驱动/灵活性负荷/"双碳"目标

Key words

demand response/electricity market/potential quantification/data-driven/flexibility load/"dual carbon"goal

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

邸亮,董杰,闫馨月,甄成,田喆,牛纪德..用于市场准入条件判定的建筑需求响应潜力量化方法[J].综合智慧能源,2025,47(3):15-22,8.

基金项目

天津市重点研发计划项目(22YFZCSN00180)Key R&D Program of Tianjin(22YFZCSN00180) (22YFZCSN00180)

综合智慧能源

2097-0706

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