水土保持研究2025，Vol.32Issue(3)：363-372,10.DOI:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2025.03.011
基于MOP-PLUS模型的兰西城市群"三生"空间冲突测度及多情景模拟
Measurement of spatial conflicts and multi-scenario simulation of'production-living-ecological'spaces in the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration based on the MOP-PLUS model
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]This study proposes development strategies to alleviate conflicts in'production-living-ecological'(PLE)spaces,providing important guidance for optimizing regional spatial patterns.[Methods]The MOP-PLUS model was applied to simulate the PLE spatial patterns of the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration(LXUA).Furthermore,a spatial conflict index model was developed to assess the level of spatial conflicts.[Results](1)From 2000 to 2020,the LXUA was dominated by ecological space,followed by production space,with living space being the smallest.Living space expanded significantly,while production and ecological spaces decreased.Spatial conflicts were predominantly moderate or higher,showing an overall increasing trend.Conflicting units exhibited continuity in their layout and distinct geographical clustering.(2)The simulated results of PLE spaces varied under different scenarios.Under the natural development scenario,living space increased the most.Under the production development scenario,production space increased the most.Under the ecological construction and collaborative development scenarios,the decreasing trend of ecological space was restrained.(3)The average level of PLE spatial conflicts across different scenarios was ranked from high to low as follows:natural development,production development,coordinated development,and ecological construction scenarios.[Conclusion]Under the coordinated development scenario,the structure of PLE spaces balances ecological and economic benefits while maintaining a relatively low level of spatial conflict,thereby contributing to the sustainable development of regional spaces.关键词
"三生"空间/空间冲突/MOP模型/PLUS模型/兰西城市群Key words
'production-living-ecological'space/spatial conflict/MOP model/PLUS model/Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王晓兰,谢保鹏,裴婷婷,陈英,申杨..基于MOP-PLUS模型的兰西城市群"三生"空间冲突测度及多情景模拟[J].水土保持研究,2025,32(3):363-372,10.基金项目
博士项目启动基金(GAU-KYYQD-2022-44) （GAU-KYYQD-2022-44）
甘肃农业大学伏羲青年英才培育计划项目(Gaufx-03Y08) （Gaufx-03Y08）
国家自然科学基金(地区科学基金)(42361017) （地区科学基金）
