| 注册
首页|期刊导航|护理研究|老年结直肠癌化疗病人衰弱前期风险预测模型的构建

老年结直肠癌化疗病人衰弱前期风险预测模型的构建

卢进红 陈海韵 钟雯雯 谭玉蕾 卓莉 袁雅琴

护理研究2025,Vol.39Issue(6):910-918,9.
护理研究2025,Vol.39Issue(6):910-918,9.DOI:10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2025.06.004

老年结直肠癌化疗病人衰弱前期风险预测模型的构建

The construction of risk prediction model of pre-frailty in elderly patients with colorectal cancer undergoing chemotherapy

卢进红 1陈海韵 1钟雯雯 1谭玉蕾 1卓莉 1袁雅琴1

作者信息

  • 1. 南方医科大学珠江医院,广东 510250
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective:To investigate the statues quo of pre-frailty in elderly patients with colorectal cancer undergoing chemotherapy,analyze its influencing factors and construct a risk prediction model.Methods:A total of 290 elderly patients with colorectal cancer undergoing chemotherapy who were hospitalized in a tertiary hospital in Guangzhou were selected as subjects by convenience sampling from September 1,2023 to February 18,2024.General information questionnaire,Frailty Phenotype,The Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale,Nutritional Risk Screening 2002,Barthel Index,The M.D.Anderson Symptom Inventory,Social Support Scale,Seff-Rating Scale of Sleep,and Clock Drawing Test were used to investigate and evaluate patients.Logistic regression analysis was used to explore the influencing factors,RStudio(version 4.1.1)was used to construct the Nomogram risk prediction model,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and receiver operator characteristic curve were used to analysis the goodness-of-fit and prediction performance of the model.Results:Among the 290 patients,191 patients were in the pre-frailty,accounting for 65.9%.Logistic regression analysis showed that age,history of falls,stoma,hemoglobin,white blood cell count,malnutritional risk,depression status and neuropsychiatric symptoms were the influencing factors of pre-frailty in elderly patients with colorectal cancer undergoing chemotherapy.The results of Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed that χ2=6.896,P=0.548,area under the curve of receiver operator characteristic was 0.867(95%CI 0.825-0.909).The Youden index was the highest(0.568),the sensitivity was 0.780,and the specificity was 0.788 when the critical value was 0.633.Conclusions:The proportion of elderly patients with colorectal cancer undergoing chemotherapy in the stage of pre-frailty is high,and age,history of falls,stoma,hemoglobin,white blood cell count,malnutritional risk,depression status and neurosomatic symptoms are significant predictors of pre-frailty in elderly patients with colorectal cancer undergoing chemotherapy.The risk prediction model based on influencing factors demonstrates good predictive accuracy and discrimination capabilities.

关键词

老年人/结直肠癌/化疗/衰弱前期/影响因素/风险预测/列线图/护理

Key words

elderly/colorectal cancer/chemotherapy/pre-frailty/influencing factors/risk prediction/Nomogram/nursing

引用本文复制引用

卢进红,陈海韵,钟雯雯,谭玉蕾,卓莉,袁雅琴..老年结直肠癌化疗病人衰弱前期风险预测模型的构建[J].护理研究,2025,39(6):910-918,9.

护理研究

OA北大核心

1009-6493

访问量0
|
下载量0
段落导航相关论文