铁路物流2025，Vol.43Issue(3)：43-48,6.DOI:10.16669/j.cnki.issn.2097-5899.202404090001
唐包线运输需求分析及预测研究
Research on Analysis and Prediction of Transportation Demand on Tangshan-Baotou Railway
摘要
Abstract
In order to promote the reduction of the logistics cost of the whole society,and fully grasp the freight increment space of Tangshan-Baotou Railway,the development trend of transportation demand of Tangshan-Baotou Railway is studied.Firstly,the collection and distribution system of Tangshan-Baotou Railway is sorted out,and the characteristics of freight transportation are analyzed in combination with the freight volume,cargo flow distribution,line capacity and other conditions.Secondly,the current situation and development trend of coal transportation in China are studied from the perspective of supply,consumption,and transportation.Based on this,the changing situation of coal transportation pattern is analyzed.Furthermore,combined with the source and transportation situation of key cargo categories of Tangshan-Baotou Railway,specifically,in the upward direction,this paper focuses on coal export from western Inner Mongolia and Yulin in northern Shaanxi,and in the downward direction,this paper focuses on imported iron ore and containers.By adopting the production and demand balance method,the freight transportation demand of Tangshan-Baotou Railway is predicted by year and category.关键词
唐包线/煤炭/产销平衡法/运输需求预测/货运增量Key words
Tangshan-Baotou Railway/Coal/Production and Demand Balance/Transportation Demand Prediction/Freight Increment分类
交通运输引用本文复制引用
柳佳音,王龙,徐雪艺,宋浚哲..唐包线运输需求分析及预测研究[J].铁路物流,2025,43(3):43-48,6.基金项目
中国国家铁路集团有限公司科技研究开发计划课题(K2022X024,N2022X035) （K2022X024,N2022X035）
