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我国深度老龄化地区长期护理保险政策的量化评价:基于PMC指数模型分析

刘嘉慧 桑新刚 尹文强 杨梦娇 王伊凡 王瑞璇 宋婧 李晓纯 杨春晓 丰志强 谢雨薇

中国康复理论与实践2025,Vol.31Issue(3):314-323,10.
中国康复理论与实践2025,Vol.31Issue(3):314-323,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-9771.2025.03.008

我国深度老龄化地区长期护理保险政策的量化评价:基于PMC指数模型分析

Quantitative evaluation of long-term care insurance policy in China's deeply aging areas:based on PMC index model

刘嘉慧 1桑新刚 2尹文强 1杨梦娇 1王伊凡 1王瑞璇 3宋婧 3李晓纯 3杨春晓 3丰志强 4谢雨薇4

作者信息

  • 1. 山东第二医科大学,管理学院,山东 潍坊市 261053||"健康山东"重大社会风险预测与治理协同创新中心,山东 潍坊市 261053||国民健康社会风险预警协同创新中心,上海市 200032
  • 2. 潍坊市卫生健康委员会,山东 潍坊市 261061
  • 3. 山东第二医科大学,公共卫生学院,山东 潍坊市 261053||"健康山东"重大社会风险预测与治理协同创新中心,山东 潍坊市 261053||国民健康社会风险预警协同创新中心,上海市 200032
  • 4. 国家卫生健康委卫生发展研究中心,北京市 100044
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective To quantitatively evaluate the structure and content of the long-term care insurance(LTCI)policy in China's deeply aging areas. Methods Using the Policy Modeling Consistency(PMC)index model indicator design method,a LTCI policy evalua-tion index system was constructed,consisting of nine primary indicators and 34 secondary indicators.A total of 123 provincial-level LTCI policies issued in deeply aging regions of China between June 1,2014,and October 1,2024 were analyzed.High-frequency word extraction was performed using ROSTCM 6.0,and a social network diagram of LTCI policies was created.The policy structure and content were quantitatively evaluated and ana-lyzed based on the established policy evaluation index system. Results The main content of LTCI policies in deeply aging areas of China covered services,institutions and assessment.The highest policy score was 7.28,and the lowest was 2.20,with an average score of 5.00.There were 25 perfect policies,63 excellent policies,28 good policies and seven qualified policies.In the dimension of policy content,the indexes of five primary indicators of policy evaluation,policy target groups,policy nature,policy perspective and policy tools were 0.60 or more;while the indexes of four primary indicators of policy content,incentives and constraints,policy timeliness,and policy level were 0.50 or less. Conclusion LTCI policies issued in China's deeply aging areas provide comprehensive coverage in aspects such as poli-cy evaluation,policy target groups and policy nature,and need to be improved in policy tool selection and the construction of incentive and constraint mechanisms.

关键词

老龄化/长期护理保险/政策评价/政策建模一致性指数模型

Key words

aging/long-term care insurance/policy evaluation/Policy Modeling Consistency index model

分类

预防医学

引用本文复制引用

刘嘉慧,桑新刚,尹文强,杨梦娇,王伊凡,王瑞璇,宋婧,李晓纯,杨春晓,丰志强,谢雨薇..我国深度老龄化地区长期护理保险政策的量化评价:基于PMC指数模型分析[J].中国康复理论与实践,2025,31(3):314-323,10.

基金项目

1.教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(No.22YJAZH137) (No.22YJAZH137)

2.山东省重点研发计划项目(No.2022RKY07002) (No.2022RKY07002)

3.潍坊市公立医院改革与高质量发展示范项目(No.SDGP370700000202402000604A001) Supported by Ministry of Education of China Humanities and Social Sciences Planning(No.22YJAZH137),Shandong Provincial Key Research and Development Project(No.2022RKY07002),and Weifang Public Hospital Reform and High-quality Development Demonstration Project(No.SDGP370700000202402000604A 001) (No.SDGP370700000202402000604A001)

中国康复理论与实践

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