水力发电2025，Vol.51Issue(4)：84-90,7.
不确定来水条件下跨行业水权交易的合作博弈模型研究
The Cooperative Game Model of Cross-industry Water Rights Trading under Uncertain Water Supply Conditions
摘要
Abstract
Focusing on the issue of water rights trading involving multiple parties such as government,agricultural water users and enterprises,this paper considers the impact of water supply uncertainty on various aspects such as tradable water volume,and the benefits of both transferor and transferee.Based on cooperative game theory,a cooperative game model of cross-industry water rights trading under uncertain water supply conditions is constructed.Two trading modes are established:variable price and variable water volume based on water supply conditions,and unified price and unified water volume.Taking the cross-industry water rights trading between agriculture and other industries in Tai'erzhuang District as an example,this paper analyzes the impact of water supply conditions and bargaining power on water rights trading price,trading volume,and benefits of transaction parties.The research results indicate that,(a)the expected benefits obtained from the trading mode that determines water rights trading volume and prices based on different water inflow years,considering water supply conditions,are higher than those obtained from the mode that determines unified trading volume and water price;and(b)bargaining power has a significant impact on the water rights trading price,the individual earnings of the parties involved,and the overall comprehensive benefits,and is also influenced by the volume of water traded.Compared to low flow years,the role of bargaining power in water rights trading is more pronounced in high flow years.关键词
水权交易/来水不确定性/合作博弈/跨行业Key words
water rights trading/uncertainty of water supply/cooperative game/cross-industry分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
姜峰,徐斌,芦璐,孟静,李江缘,李泽坤..不确定来水条件下跨行业水权交易的合作博弈模型研究[J].水力发电,2025,51(4):84-90,7.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFC3000104) （2021YFC3000104）
国家自然科学基金资助项目(52279010,52322902) （52279010,52322902）
水利部重大科技项目(SKS-2022001,SKS-2022013,SKS-2022124) （SKS-2022001,SKS-2022013,SKS-2022124）
