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场景驱动的危机决策评估框架构建研究

张一帆 战晓苏 耿帅

火力与指挥控制2025,Vol.50Issue(3):34-40,7.
火力与指挥控制2025,Vol.50Issue(3):34-40,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2025.03.005

场景驱动的危机决策评估框架构建研究

Research on the Construction of Scenario-driven Crisis Decision-making Evaluation Framework

张一帆 1战晓苏 2耿帅3

作者信息

  • 1. 军事科学院研究生院,北京 100091||军事科学院战略评估咨询中心,北京 100091||解放军31015部队,北京 100091
  • 2. 军事科学院战略评估咨询中心,北京 100091
  • 3. 军事科学院研究生院,北京 100091||军事科学院战略评估咨询中心,北京 100091
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The evaluation framework is an important guide to improve the understanding of decision-making subjects on evaluation activities,and through the analysis of the evaluation needs in crisis decision-making process,a crisis decision-making scenario model,this model is designed,which is composed of scenario units,relationships and attributes,then the construction and the matching process of the scenario library are clarified.Aiming at the decision-making scenarios of"prejudgement","in-process-disposal"and"after-review",a scenario-driven crisis decision-making evaluation framework is designed,and such contents as"evaluation data,elements,model,and process"in the framework are defined and described.A theoretical reference is provided for crisis decision-making from the perspective of evaluation.

关键词

场景驱动/危机/决策/评估框架

Key words

scenario-driven/crisis/decision-making/evaluation framework

分类

军事科技

引用本文复制引用

张一帆,战晓苏,耿帅..场景驱动的危机决策评估框架构建研究[J].火力与指挥控制,2025,50(3):34-40,7.

基金项目

全军军事类研究生资助课题(JY2022B176) (JY2022B176)

火力与指挥控制

OA北大核心

1002-0640

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