广东石油化工学院学报2025，Vol.35Issue(1)：18-24,7.
广东省新能源汽车的报废及其资源潜力
Resource Potentials from End-of-Life New Energy Vehicles in Guangdong Province
摘要
Abstract
In this study,a dynamic material flow analysis model was used to estimate and predict the generation volume of end-of-life(EoL)new energy vehicles in Guangdong Province during 2010-2050.The potential of common metals(iron,aluminum,copper),rare earth resources(lanthanum,cerium,praseodymium,neodymium,dysprosium),precious metals(gold,silver,palladium),and strategic resources(nickel,lithium,cobalt)stored in EoL new energy vehicles and batteries was also evaluated.The results indicate that by 2050,the generation of EoL new energy vehicles in Guangdong Province will reach 1.9 million units,and the number of discarded power batteries will amount to 4.5 million units.In 2050,the potential for common metals in EoL new energy vehicles will be approximately(2400±360)kilo tonnes(kt);the rare earth resources will be(5.0±0.82)kt;the precious metals will be(6.67±5.19)tonnes,and the strategic metal resources will be(202±92)kt.This study contributes to evaluating resource potentials in Guangdong Province regarding the developmental of new energy vehicles.关键词
新能源汽车/动力电池/动态物质流/报废量/资源潜力Key words
new energy vehicles/power batteries/material flow analysis/end-of-life(EoL)/resource potential分类
环境科学引用本文复制引用
马寅,孔文轩,刘和平..广东省新能源汽车的报废及其资源潜力[J].广东石油化工学院学报,2025,35(1):18-24,7.基金项目
广东石油化工学院人才引进项目(2019rc061,2022rcyj2001) （2019rc061,2022rcyj2001）
广东省石化污染过程与控制重点实验室开放基金项目(2018B030322017) （2018B030322017）
茂名市科技计划项目(220414124550937,220414114550879) （220414124550937,220414114550879）
