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城市新质生产力的时空演变格局及收敛性分析

孙欣 高孟焕

青岛大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.38Issue(1):141-148,153,9.
青岛大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.38Issue(1):141-148,153,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-1037.2025.01.20

城市新质生产力的时空演变格局及收敛性分析

Spatiotemporal Evolution Patterns and Convergence Analysis of Urban New Quality Productivity

孙欣 1高孟焕1

作者信息

  • 1. 安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,蚌埠 233010
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the theoretical analysis of urban new quality productivity in China,a comprehensive evaluation index system constructed from three dimensions of laborers,la-bor objects,and means of labor was proposed.Panel data from 260 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2021 were analyzed using methods such as the entropy method,Markov chains,and spatial β-convergence to evaluate the development level and dynamic evolution of new quality productivity.Results show that the spatial Markov transition probability matrix reveals the stability of transitions between different types of new quality productivity in China,along with the phenomenon of"club convergence".Geographic con-texts play a significant role in type transitions of new quality productivity.From the per-spective of long-term evolution trends,the future development prospects for new quality productivity in China appear optimistic,with a tendency toward a concentration in high-value regions.At both the national and regional levels,spatial absolute β-convergence and spatial conditional β-convergence were observed.In the central region,spatial effects var-ied under the influence of control variables,including urbanization rate,openness to the outside world,infrastructure,and government intervention.

关键词

新质生产力/马尔科夫链/空间收敛/时空演变格局

Key words

new quality productivity/Markov chain/spatial convergence/spatiotemporal evolution patterns

分类

经济学

引用本文复制引用

孙欣,高孟焕..城市新质生产力的时空演变格局及收敛性分析[J].青岛大学学报(自然科学版),2025,38(1):141-148,153,9.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金(批准号:22BTJ048)资助. (批准号:22BTJ048)

青岛大学学报(自然科学版)

1006-1037

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