全球能源互联网2025，Vol.8Issue(2)：192-200,9.DOI:10.19705/j.cnki.issn2096-5125.2025.02.007
碳中和导向下中国生物质能消费分析
Analysis of China's Bioenergy Consumption Under Carbon Neutrality Orientation
摘要
Abstract
Bioenergy substitution for fossil fuels is an effective way to reduce carbon emissions,and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage(BECCS)is a key supporting technology to achieve carbon neutrality.In this study,the Global Change Analysis Model(GCAM),which is localized to be adapted to China's energy system,is used to simulate and analyze the future bioenergy consumption in China under the carbon neutrality orientation by considering the application of bioenergy in various energy sectors in China in detail.The scenario results show that(1)traditional biomass,such as fuel wood,is almost completely phased out after 2030,and modern bioenergy will start to develop rapidly after 2030.In 2060,bioenergy will account for 15%of China's total primary energy consumption;(2)in the future,China's bioenergy will diversify,with power generation and liquid fuel refining as the dominant sectors.In 2060,power generation and refining will represent nearly 80%of China's bioenergy consumption,biopower accounts for 6%of China's total power generation,and biofuel will account for 42%of total liquid fuel production;(3)China's bioenergy needs to be substantially equipped with CCS technology.In 2060,86%of bioenergy will be equipped with CCS,and BECCS will capture 1.5 Gt CO2 annually.关键词
生物质能/碳中和/综合评估模型/BECCSKey words
bioenergy/carbon neutrality/integrated assessment model/BECCS分类
环境科学引用本文复制引用
李峰,张舒涵,邵天铭,庞军..碳中和导向下中国生物质能消费分析[J].全球能源互联网,2025,8(2):192-200,9.基金项目
南方电网公司科技项目(GDKJXM20222448).Science and Technology Foundation of China Southern Power Grid(GDKJXM20222448). （GDKJXM20222448）
