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中国罗非鱼对RCEP成员国出口现状及潜力研究OA

Research on the export status and potential of Chinese tilapia to RCEP member countries

中文摘要英文摘要

本研究首先从出口总额、出口总量、平均出 口单价、主要出 口目的地、出口品类五个维度分析中国罗非鱼对RCEP成员国的出 口现状,然后运用扩展的贸易引力模型测算中国罗非鱼对RCEP成员国的潜在出 口额,将其与实际出口额对比,计算中国罗非鱼对RCEP成员国出 口潜力并进行原因分析.结果表明,中国罗非鱼对RCEP成员国出 口额与中国人均GDP、人口比重、地理距离、中国年均汇率、贸易国年均汇率显著相关.基于高平均出 口单价和免税政策等优势,中国对大多数RCEP成员国展现出巨大的罗非鱼出 口潜力.由此,本文提出提高出 口质量、优化产品结构、减少成本、防范汇率波动风险及加强产业对接等发展建议.

This study first analyzes the export status of Chinese tilapia to RCEP member countries from five dimensions:total export value,total export volume,average export unit price,main export destinations,and export varieties.Then,it uses the extended trade gravity model to calculate the potential export volume of Chinese tilapia to RCEP member countries.By comparing it with the actual export volume,the export potential of Chinese tilapia to RCEP member countries is calculated and the reasons are analyzed.The results show that the export volume of Chinese tilapia to RCEP member countries is significantly correlated with China's per capita GDP,population proportion,geographical distance,China's average annual exchange rate,and the average annual exchange rate of trading countries.Based on advantages such as high average export unit price and duty-free policies,China shows huge export potential of tilapia to most RCEP member countries.Based on this,this article proposes development suggestions such as improving export quality,optimizing product structure,reducing costs,preventing exchange rate risks,and strengthening industrial docking.

韦有周;蔡松歌;苏可欣

上海海洋大学经济管理学院,上海 201306上海海洋大学经济管理学院,上海 201306上海海洋大学经济管理学院,上海 201306

经济学

罗非鱼出口潜力区域全面经济伙伴关系协定扩展贸易引力模型

tilapiaexport potentialRegional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)extended trade gravity model

《中国渔业经济》 2025 (2)

79-88,10

本文受"国家特色淡水鱼产业技术体系"(CARS-46-28)产业经济岗资金资助.

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