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小汽车依赖性的综合测度及其影响因素研究

何明卫 邓培瑶 李健波 雷家友 刘杰

北京交通大学学报2025,Vol.49Issue(1):128-135,8.
北京交通大学学报2025,Vol.49Issue(1):128-135,8.DOI:10.11860/j.issn.1673-0291.20240078

小汽车依赖性的综合测度及其影响因素研究

Research on the comprehensive measurement of car dependence and its influencing factors

何明卫 1邓培瑶 1李健波 1雷家友 1刘杰1

作者信息

  • 1. 昆明理工大学 交通工程学院,昆明 650500
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To address the issues of existing methods for measuring car dependence,including their single-dimensional focus and lack of clarity regarding influencing mechanisms,this study conducts a comprehensive analysis of car dependence and its influencing factors,using travel survey data collected from car users in Kunming.Incorporating three dimensions,which are objective dependence,subjec-tive dependence,and car usage conditions,the study employs a second-order structural equation model to comprehensively measure car dependence and analyze group-level differences.Subsequently,the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree(GBDT)model and the Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)model are applied to explore the influence mechanisms of socio-economic attributes and built environ-ment on car dependence.The results indicate that the loading coefficients for objective dependence,subjective dependence,and car usage conditions are 0.725,0.242,and 0.852,respectively.Car de-pendence is constrained by car usage conditions,with objective dependence proving stronger than sub-jective factors,and varying significantly across demographic groups.The objective built environment accounts for 62.48%of the variance in car dependence,higher than 29.87%for socio-economic attri-butes and just 7.46%for the perceived built environment with a relatively low influence.The influence of the built environment on car dependence also exhibits nonlinear relationships and threshold effects.These findings present a novel framework for measuring car dependence and provide valuable insights for developing targeted strategies to reduce car dependence.

关键词

交通运输规划与管理/小汽车依赖性/测度方法/GBDT/建成环境

Key words

transportation planning and management/car dependence/measurement method/GBDT/built environment

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

何明卫,邓培瑶,李健波,雷家友,刘杰..小汽车依赖性的综合测度及其影响因素研究[J].北京交通大学学报,2025,49(1):128-135,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(72361015) National Natural Science Foundation of China(72361015) (72361015)

北京交通大学学报

OA北大核心

1673-0291

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