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1979-2021年南极洲飞机可起降率的气候态及其年际变化趋势研究

卢嘉杰 张体军 孙波 程灵巧 于乐江 肖恩照 张建军 陈望春 倪洪波 霍海峰 张波

极地研究2025,Vol.37Issue(1):26-38,13.
极地研究2025,Vol.37Issue(1):26-38,13.DOI:10.13679/j.jdyj.20230065

1979-2021年南极洲飞机可起降率的气候态及其年际变化趋势研究

Climatological distribution,interannual variation,and trend of aircraft take-off and landing rate in Antarctica(1979-2021)

卢嘉杰 1张体军 2孙波 2程灵巧 1于乐江 3肖恩照 3张建军 4陈望春 5倪洪波 6霍海峰 7张波8

作者信息

  • 1. 上海海洋大学海洋科学与生态环境学院,上海 201306
  • 2. 自然资源部极地科学重点实验室,中国极地研究中心(中国极地研究所),上海 200136||中国极地研究中心(中国极地研究所),自然资源部极地工程技术创新中心,上海 200136
  • 3. 自然资源部极地科学重点实验室,中国极地研究中心(中国极地研究所),上海 200136||中国极地研究中心(中国极地研究所),自然资源部极地工程技术创新中心,上海 200136||中国极地研究中心(中国极地研究所),极地冰雪跑道研究院,上海 200136
  • 4. 中国商用飞机有限责任公司,上海飞机设计研究院,上海 201210
  • 5. 民航机场规划设计研究总院有限公司,北京 100029
  • 6. 中国飞行试验研究院,陕西 西安 710089
  • 7. 中国民航大学交通科学与工程学院,天津 300300
  • 8. 呼伦贝尔市气象局,内蒙古自治区 呼伦贝尔 021008
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on meteorological reanalysis data obtained during 1979-2021,this study evaluated the prob-ability distribution of near-surface meteorological elements in Antarctica to meet the requirements of avia-tion take-off and landing(i.e.,the change in take-off and landing rate;TLR).Results showed that the aircraft TLR has substantial spatiotemporal variability over the Antarctic continent.In West Antarctica,the TLR is always higher than that in East Antarctica Plateau region.For example,the climatological average summer TLR in West Antarctica reaches a maximum of 57.0%,while that in East Antarctica reaches only 49.4%in the plateau areas.The TLR is highest in summer,followed in descending order by that in spring,autumn,and winter.From the perspective of the long-term trend,the TLR in most inland areas in summer has a no-table decreasing trend,while that in most coastal areas has an increasing trend.In spring,the TLR in most plateau areas and the inner area of the Weddell Sea has a strong upward trend.When sunshine hours are considered,the effects of near-surface wind speed,temperature,and visibility vary in most seasons in each sub-region.Coastal areas are more susceptible to wind speed,while high-latitude areas(including the East Antarctic Plateau and the entire area of West Antarctica)are more susceptible to visibility controlled by pre-cipitation.Additionally,several major Antarctic ice shelf areas are experiencing severe warming,and the potential impact of ice shelf or internal ice sheet collapse should be considered when selecting an airport location.

关键词

可起降率/气象要素/时空变化/航空/南极洲

Key words

take-off and landing rate/meteorologic factors/temporal variation/aviation/Antarctica

引用本文复制引用

卢嘉杰,张体军,孙波,程灵巧,于乐江,肖恩照,张建军,陈望春,倪洪波,霍海峰,张波..1979-2021年南极洲飞机可起降率的气候态及其年际变化趋势研究[J].极地研究,2025,37(1):26-38,13.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划课题(2022YFC2807101)和国家自然科学基金(42130402)资助 (2022YFC2807101)

极地研究

OA北大核心

1007-7073

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