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重塑未来:颠覆性技术主题研究进展及未来展望

邓三鸿 郭剑明 施宇杰

科技情报研究2025,Vol.7Issue(2):1-12,12.
科技情报研究2025,Vol.7Issue(2):1-12,12.DOI:10.19809/j.cnki.kjqbyj.2025.02.001

重塑未来:颠覆性技术主题研究进展及未来展望

Reshaping Future:Research Progress and Future Prospects of Disruptive Technology Topics

邓三鸿 1郭剑明 1施宇杰1

作者信息

  • 1. 南京大学信息管理学院,南京 210023||江苏省数据工程与知识服务重点实验室,南京 210023
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Purpose/significance]Disruptive technology is regarded as a revolutionary force that"changes the rules of the game"and"reshapes the future pattern",and has gradually become a hot and difficult issue in interdisciplinary re-search.This paper summarizes the literature related to disruptive technologies,clarifies the concepts and characteris-tics of disruptive technologies,subdivides research topics and directions,summarizes research focuses and looks for-ward to future development trends,and provides reference for relevant personnel.[Method/process]On the basis of sorting out the latest related research on disruptive technologies,this paper clarifies the research progress of disrup-tive technologies from three aspects:the concept and characteristics of disruptive technologies,common identification methods,and the evolution and prediction analysis of disruptive technologies,and grasps the research status and de-velopment trend of this field.[Result/conclusion]This paper comprehensively summarized the current research status of disruptive technology,and analyzed the existing problems and shortcomings.

关键词

颠覆性技术/颠覆性创新/技术识别/技术演化/技术预测

Key words

disruptive technology/disruptive innovation/technical identification/technical evolution/technical fore-cast

引用本文复制引用

邓三鸿,郭剑明,施宇杰..重塑未来:颠覆性技术主题研究进展及未来展望[J].科技情报研究,2025,7(2):1-12,12.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目"融合创新测度和生成模型的科学技术知识空间预测研究"(编号:724B2015) (编号:724B2015)

科技情报研究

2096-7144

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