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基于耦合协调模型的能源绿色转型与能源安全协同发展研究

范秋芳 张会娟 刘浩旻

中国石油大学学报(社会科学版)2025,Vol.41Issue(2):1-10,10.
中国石油大学学报(社会科学版)2025,Vol.41Issue(2):1-10,10.DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2025.02.0001

基于耦合协调模型的能源绿色转型与能源安全协同发展研究

Based on Coupled Coordination Model Research on Collaborative Development of Energy Green Transition and Energy Security

范秋芳 1张会娟 1刘浩旻2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院,山东 青岛 266580
  • 2. 中国石化石油勘探开发研究院,北京 102206
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The coordinated development of energy green transition and energy security is essential for constructing a new energy system.Based on data from 30 provinces and cities in China from 2005 to 2022,this paper employs the AHP-EWM-TOPSIS method and the coupling coordination model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the coordinated development status between energy green transition and energy security.The study finds that:The key influencing factors for energy green transition are the generation of non-fossil energy,in-novation and R&D capabilities,and green GDP,while fossil energy reserves,energy efficiency,and R&D investment significantly im-pact energy security levels;There is a significant spatial disparity in the levels of energy green transition and energy security.The south-eastern coastal areas lead in energy green transition,while the middle reaches of the Yellow River and the eastern coastal regions have distinct advantages in energy security;The coupling coordination level exhibits an oscillating upward trend.The overall development trend is positive,with the southeastern coastal regions maintaining high and continuously increasing coupling coordination levels,while the northeastern and northwestern regions lag behind.Accordingly,this study proposes recommendations for the large-scale develop-ment of non-fossil energy,the clean utilization of fossil energy,the enhancement of new-quality energy productivity,and the full play of government functions.

关键词

能源绿色转型/能源安全/组合赋权法/耦合协调模型

Key words

green energy transformation/energy security/analytic hierarchy process/entropy weight method/coupling coordination mode

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

范秋芳,张会娟,刘浩旻..基于耦合协调模型的能源绿色转型与能源安全协同发展研究[J].中国石油大学学报(社会科学版),2025,41(2):1-10,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(72303242) (72303242)

中国石油大学学报(社会科学版)

1673-5595

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