中国电力2025，Vol.58Issue(4)：31-43,13.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202409061
基于动态碳排放强度的电碳市场耦合建模方法及市场优化机制分析
Electricity Carbon Coupled Market Modeling Method and Market Optimization Mechanism Based on Dynamic Carbon Emission Intensity
摘要
Abstract
Due to the timing differences between carbon market(CM)and electricity market(EM),accurately modeling their coupling is challenging.Analysis of operating data shows that the carbon emission intensity(CEI)of thermal units fluctuates with load rates,providing a foundation for real-time coupling and accurate modeling.This study develops a bi-level equilibrium simulation model with differentiated dynamic CEI in a multi-generator game framework.The upper level models generator decisions,while the lower level models EM and CM transactions.A low-carbon optimization mechanism(LCOM)involving interactions with other industries is proposed to enhance EM synergy.A Markov decision iterative optimal coordination algorithm(MDIOCA)is proposed to solve the model.Case studies based on the IEEE 39-bus system demonstrate that the dynamic CEI model enables real-time coupling of the EM and CM,achieving an additional 5.42%reduction in carbon emissions and facilitating an economic inflow of 47,900 CNY from other industries,thereby improving the economic and environmental performance of the EM.关键词
电力市场/碳市场/碳排放强度/双层模型/马尔科夫决策/纳什均衡Key words
electricity market/carbon market/carbon emission intensity/bi-level model/Markov decision/Nash equilibrium引用本文复制引用
赵彤,李雪松,周浩,丁羽,杨斌,王文涛,王鹏..基于动态碳排放强度的电碳市场耦合建模方法及市场优化机制分析[J].中国电力,2025,58(4):31-43,13.基金项目
国网江苏省电力有限公司科技项目(J2023046). This work is supported by Technological projects of State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co.,Ltd.(No.J2023046). （J2023046）
