安徽农业科学2025，Vol.53Issue(7)：180-185,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2025.07.033
六春湖山区杜鹃花气象因子相关性分析及花期预测
Correlation Analysis of Meteorological Factors and Prediction of Flowering Period of Rhododendron in Liuchun Lake Mountain Area
摘要
Abstract
Using the phenological period of rhododendron in Liuchun Lake scenic area from 2019 to 2023 and the corresponding meteorological conditions,the basic meteorological conditions required for the full-blossom period were analyzed,and temperature,precipitation,sunshine correlation analysis,grey correlation analysis and accumulated temperature threshold method were combined to predict the full-blossom period of rhododendron in Liuchun Lake in 2024.The results showed that temperature and precipitation were the main meteorological factors affecting the full-blossom period of rhododendron.The temperature conditions in 2024 were similar to those in 2021 and 2023,and the rainfall condi-tions in 2024 were similar to previous years.It is predicted that the full-blossom period of rhododendron in Liuchun Lake in 2024 will occur from April 30th to May 9th.The meteorological index for rhododendron viewing tourism was divided into four levels:suitable,relatively suit-able,relatively unsuitable and unsuitable.The suitability of flower viewing tourism can be determined based on the meteorological service level.关键词
杜鹃花/气象因子/相关性分析/花期预测/六春湖山区Key words
Rhododendron/Meteorological factors/Correlation analysis/Flowering period prediction/Liuchun Lake Mountain Area分类
农业科学引用本文复制引用
张琦,万佳静,景元书..六春湖山区杜鹃花气象因子相关性分析及花期预测[J].安徽农业科学,2025,53(7):180-185,6.基金项目
浙江省龙游县气象局科技项目(JHXM2022170) （JHXM2022170）
南京信息工程大学课程思政项目(2023XKCSZ16). （2023XKCSZ16）
