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基于BKA-CNN-SVM模型的岩爆烈度预测

慕慧文 周宗红 郑发萍 刘剑 曾顺洪 段勇

高压物理学报2025,Vol.39Issue(5):103-116,14.
高压物理学报2025,Vol.39Issue(5):103-116,14.DOI:10.11858/gywlxb.20240880

基于BKA-CNN-SVM模型的岩爆烈度预测

Prediction of Rockburst Grade Based on BKA-CNN-SVM Model

慕慧文 1周宗红 1郑发萍 2刘剑 1曾顺洪 3段勇3

作者信息

  • 1. 昆明理工大学国土资源工程学院,云南 昆明 650093
  • 2. 昆明理工大学公共安全与应急管理学院,云南 昆明 650093
  • 3. 云南云天化聚磷新材料有限公司,云南 昭通 657200
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to realize efficient and accurate rockburst grade prediction,and prevent underground engineering disasters,this paper proposes a prediction model based on black-winged kite optimization algorithm-convolutional neural network-support vector machine(BKA-CNN-SVM).Firstly,the prediction index system was established according to six influence factors of rockburst,and 284 groups of rockburst cases at home and abroad were collected to establish a rockburst database.Secondly,Laida criterion and 1.5 times quartile difference were introduced to remove and replace the outliers in the data.The kernel principal component analysis(KPCA)was used to reduce the dimension of the data and extract the features.The extracted features were used as the model inputs.Finally,the confusion matrix was used to evaluate the model performance in terms of accuracy,precision,recall,and F1 value.BKA-CNN-SVM model was compared with convolutional neural network(CNN)model,extreme learning machine(ELM)model,and convolutional neural network and support vector machine(CNN-SVM)integrated model.The results showed that the accuracy,precision,F1 value,and recall of BKA-CNN-SVM model are 95.35%,0.89,0.92,and 0.94,respectively,which are significantly better than the other models in terms of prediction accuracy and generalization degree.In order to verify the feasibility of the BKA-CNN-SVM model,it was used to prediction the rockburst grade of the Jinping secondary hydro-power station.The prediction results have high consistency with the actual field conditions.This research can provides a new method for rockburst grade prediction.

关键词

岩爆/核主成分分析/卷积神经网络/支持向量机/黑翅鸢优化算法

Key words

rockburst/kernel principal component analysis/convolutional neural network/support vector machine/black-winged kite optimization

分类

数理科学

引用本文复制引用

慕慧文,周宗红,郑发萍,刘剑,曾顺洪,段勇..基于BKA-CNN-SVM模型的岩爆烈度预测[J].高压物理学报,2025,39(5):103-116,14.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(52264019,51864023) (52264019,51864023)

云南省基础研究计划项目青年项目(202401AU070175) (202401AU070175)

高压物理学报

OA北大核心

1000-5773

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