河南水利与南水北调2025，Vol.54Issue(2)：36-38,3.
基于云模型的气候变化对丹江口水库流域降水影响分析
Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Precipitation in the Danjiangkou Reservoir Basin Based on Cloud Model
许方方1
作者信息
- 1. 南阳市白河橡胶坝运行保障中心,河南 南阳 473000
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Climate change will have a profound impact on the surface hydrological cycle.This study analyzes the rainfall behaviour of the Danjiangkou Reservoir watershed from 1980 to 2018 based on three different precipitation datasets,with the Mann-Kendall trend test and cloud model.The analysis results indicate that prior to climate change the precipitation in the basin experienced a significant decreasing trend,with a reduction rate exceeding 10mm/a.After climate change,the decreasing trend of precipitation has been alleviated.The analysis results with cloud model reveal that climate change has led to a decrease in precipitation dispersion,and increase in concentration of precipitation,which leads to possibility of more extreme precipitation events in the future.The findings can provide scientific reference for water resources managers in the basin for water allocation work.关键词
降水/趋势演变/特征分析/云模型Key words
precipitation/trend evolution/features analysis/cloud model分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
许方方..基于云模型的气候变化对丹江口水库流域降水影响分析[J].河南水利与南水北调,2025,54(2):36-38,3.
