江淮水利科技Issue(1)：10-17,26,9.DOI:10.20011/j.cnki.JHWR.202501002
区域水资源承载力综合评价若干问题探讨
Discussion on several issues in the comprehensive evaluation of regional water resources carrying capacity
摘要
Abstract
The comprehensive evaluation of regional water resources carrying capacity is an important foundational task that supports regional water resource spatial balance,high-quality water development,and sustainable development.Influenced by various factors such as regional water resources,economic and social conditions,and ecological environments,it has remained a forefront hotspot and challenge in the field of sustainable water resource utilization theory and practice research over the past 40 years.In response to the important issues in the comprehensive evaluation process of water resources carrying capacity in actual regions,such as unclear concepts and system structure of water resources carrying capacity evaluation,some misconcep-tions in evaluation methods,and weak logical correlation between various links of evaluation methods,the study pointed out that the system structure of comprehensive evaluation was formed by the interaction of regional water resources carrying capaci-ty support,pressure,and regulation;The comprehensive evaluation was to assess the balance between the supporting capacity and carrying pressure of regional water resources under specific water resources carrying and regulating conditions.The evalua-tion object a,evaluation index b,and evaluation objective c interact to form the comprehensive evaluation system;and the con-struction process of evidence relationships a-b,evaluation argumentation relationships b-c,and evaluation result relationships a-c was explored.The resulted indicate that the comprehensive evaluation process had a complex system structure of physical cause analysis,indicator system determination,and evaluation method construction,which reflected the complete logical rea-soning process of Aristotelian syllogism.The PDCA Deming cycle method could be applied to continuously improve the com-prehensive evaluation method of regional water resources carrying capacity,in order to continuously enhance the rationality and reliability of the comprehensive evaluation results of regional water resources carrying capacity.关键词
水资源承载力/综合评价方法误区/评价对象/评价指标/评价目标/亚里士多德三段论/PDCA戴明循环Key words
water resources carrying capacity/misconceptions in comprehensive evaluation methods/evaluation object/evalua-tion indicator/evaluation objective/Aristotle's syllogism/Deming cycle of Plan-Do-Check-Action分类
土木建筑引用本文复制引用
金菊良,沈时兴,周亮广,王梓宇,周戎星,吴成国,崔毅..区域水资源承载力综合评价若干问题探讨[J].江淮水利科技,2025,(1):10-17,26,9.基金项目
安徽省自然科学基金项目(2208085US03,2308085US06) （2208085US03,2308085US06）
