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基于耦合协调度模型的十大孔兑流域水-能源-粮食-生态耦合系统协调及驱动机制

檀汉泽 张泽中 冯凯 罗旭东 周泉成 刘勇 张德全

人民珠江2025,Vol.46Issue(4):101-112,12.
人民珠江2025,Vol.46Issue(4):101-112,12.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2025.04.012

基于耦合协调度模型的十大孔兑流域水-能源-粮食-生态耦合系统协调及驱动机制

Coordination and Driving Mechanism of Water-Energy-Food-Ecology Coupling System in Inner-Mongolia Reaches of Yellow River Based on Coupling Coordination Degree Model

檀汉泽 1张泽中 1冯凯 1罗旭东 1周泉成 2刘勇 3张德全3

作者信息

  • 1. 华北水利水电大学水利学院,河南 郑州 450046
  • 2. 中国水利水电科学研究院阴山北麓草原生态水文国家观测研究站,北京 100038
  • 3. 鄂尔多斯市水利事业发展中心,内蒙古 鄂尔多斯 017001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to realize the high quality and sustainable development of the Inner-Mongolia Reaches of Yellow River,this paper took Dalad Banner and its townships as research objects and constructed a water-energy-food-ecology(W-E-F-E)coupling coordination evaluation index system.The coupling coordination degree model was used to carry out system coordination research based on the W-E-F-E system coupling from the temporal and spatial perspectives,and the gray correlation model and the geographic detector were used to explore the driving mechanisms.The results show that:① The comprehensive evaluation index of the W-E-F-E system in the Dalad Banner region generally shows a slow upward trend,from 0.356 in 2000 to 0.575 in 2022.② The coupling degree of the W-E-F-E system in Dalad Banner and its townships is high,and it is in the stage of high-level coupling(The mean value is 0.967).However,the coupling coordination degree is low and maintains at the primary coordination stage(The mean value is 0.668).Unbalanced and uncoordinated spatial development exists in the Dalad Banner region,mainly in the eastern part of Dalad Banner,and areas with a higher coordination degree gradually change from the west to the center.③ The coordination of the W-E-F-E system of Dalad Banner and its townships shows a good trend on the whole,and the whole region is gradually developing into a good coordination stage.The townships have basically entered the intermediate coordination stage.④ In general,the influence degree of driving factors on the system coupling coordination degree is as follows:ecology>water>energy>food.In terms of spatial differences,energy has the greatest impact,while water has the least explanatory power.The interaction among water,food,and ecology yields the greatest explanatory power.The results can provide a basis for decision-making on the efficient utilization of resources and habitat protection in the Inner-Mongolia Reaches of Yellow River.

关键词

水资源-能源-粮食-生态(W-E-F-E)系统/耦合协调/驱动机制/时空演变

Key words

water-energy-food-ecology(W-E-F-E)system/coupling coordination/driving mechanism/spatial-temporal evolution

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

檀汉泽,张泽中,冯凯,罗旭东,周泉成,刘勇,张德全..基于耦合协调度模型的十大孔兑流域水-能源-粮食-生态耦合系统协调及驱动机制[J].人民珠江,2025,46(4):101-112,12.

基金项目

科技兴蒙行动重点专项(2022EEDSKJXM004-4) (2022EEDSKJXM004-4)

国家自然科学基金(42301024) (42301024)

河南省科技攻关项目(242102321114) (242102321114)

人民珠江

1001-9235

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