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基于博弈论-改进云模型的重力坝安全评价方法

郑元江 李霞 何磊 唐杉彦嵚

水力发电2025,Vol.51Issue(5):119-124,6.
水力发电2025,Vol.51Issue(5):119-124,6.

基于博弈论-改进云模型的重力坝安全评价方法

Safety Evaluation of Gravity Dam Based on Improved Cloud Model

郑元江 1李霞 1何磊 1唐杉彦嵚1

作者信息

  • 1. 重庆交通大学,重庆 400074
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To enhance the accuracy of gravity dam safety assessment,this paper proposes a gravity dam safety evaluation model based on an improved cloud model and applies it to Longgang Reservoir.The results show that the method can effectively address the shortcomings of traditional single-step reverse cloud models by using a multi-step reverse cloud transformation algorithm for extracting and processing cloud numerical features from random sample data and iteratively refining sample data to obtain improved cloud parameters.The constructed gravity dam safety evaluation model,integrating the game theory with a multi-step reverse cloud transformation algorithm,provides effective safety assessment based on monitoring data.The safety level calculated from the relative closeness between standardized monitoring data of Longgang Reservoir gravity dam and the normal cloud safety evaluation grade is"low risk",indicating that the dam is in a safe operating state,consistent with the actual situation.

关键词

重力坝/安全评价/组合赋权/多步逆向云转换/龙岗水库

Key words

gravity dam/safety evaluation/combined weighting/multi-step reverse cloud transformation/Longgang Reservoir

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

郑元江,李霞,何磊,唐杉彦嵚..基于博弈论-改进云模型的重力坝安全评价方法[J].水力发电,2025,51(5):119-124,6.

基金项目

水利部重大科技项目(SKS-2022076) (SKS-2022076)

重庆市技术创新与应用发展重点项目(CSTB2022TIAD-KPX0198) (CSTB2022TIAD-KPX0198)

重庆市水利科技项目(CQSLK-2022006) (CQSLK-2022006)

三峡后续工作项目(CQS23C00400,CQS23-C00399) (CQS23C00400,CQS23-C00399)

水力发电

0559-9342

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