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气候变化与人类活动对渭河源区径流量影响的定量分析

赵永刚 贾杰 姜丽红

水利信息化Issue(2):25-30,6.
水利信息化Issue(2):25-30,6.DOI:10.19364/j.1674-9405.2025.02.005

气候变化与人类活动对渭河源区径流量影响的定量分析

Quantitative analysis of impact of climate change and human activities on runoffin source region of Wei River

赵永刚 1贾杰 1姜丽红1

作者信息

  • 1. 甘肃省定西水文水资源勘测中心,甘肃 定西 743000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Climate change and human activities have significantly influenced runoffin the source region of the Wei River.To identify the dominant influencing factors and quantify their impacts on runoff,this study employed methods such as the inverse distance weighting method,hierarchical clustering,and cumulative slope change rate analysis.The relationship between precipitation and runoff,runoffvariation,and the respective contributions of climate change and human activities to runoff changes were systematically examined.The results indicated that precipitation and runoffexhibited strong intra-annual correlation but weak interannual correlation.While precipitation showed a slight increasing trend,runoffpresents an insignificant decreasing trend from 1980 to 2022.A significant runoffvariation occurred in 1993,with a reduction of 201 million m3.Climate change accounted for 31.6%of the runoffreduction,whereas human activities contributed 69.4%,making human activities the dominant factor in runoffdecline in the Wei River source region.These findings provide essential references for regional water resource planning and ecological environment management.

关键词

气候变化/人类活动/径流量/定量分析/渭河源区

Key words

climate change/human activities/runoff/quantitative analysis/source region of Wei River

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

赵永刚,贾杰,姜丽红..气候变化与人类活动对渭河源区径流量影响的定量分析[J].水利信息化,2025,(2):25-30,6.

基金项目

甘肃省水利科学试验研究及技术推广项目(23GSLK028) (23GSLK028)

水利信息化

1674-9405

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