中国国土资源经济2025，Vol.38Issue(4)：12-24,13.DOI:10.19676/j.cnki.1672-6995.001078
中国碳排放影响因素分析与碳中和路径探寻
Analysis of Influencing Factors of Carbon Emissions and Exploration of Carbon Neutrality Path in China
摘要
Abstract
With the help of Kaya identity,this paper constructs a three-layer LMDI(Logarithmic Mean weight Divisia Index method)decomposition model to study the impact of industrial structure,population,GDP,energy intensity and other influencing factors on total carbon emissions in China,aiming to explore an effective path to achieve carbon neutrality.It is found that the positive effect of GDP per capita and the negative effect of energy consumption structure contribute the most to the influencing factors of carbon emissions.On these basis,this paper puts forward suggestions on the implementation path of carbon neutrality in China from three aspects,including policy,technology development and fiscal budget,and puts forward the low-carbon technologies that are recommended for key research and developement in each stage from 2021 to 2060.关键词
碳排放/碳排放因子/指数分解/影响因素/实施路径Key words
carbon emissions/carbon emission factors/index decomposition/influencing factors/implementation path分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
周云柯,吴建国..中国碳排放影响因素分析与碳中和路径探寻[J].中国国土资源经济,2025,38(4):12-24,13.基金项目
重点实验室开放项目"油气资源与探测国家重点实验室"(PRP/open-2109) （PRP/open-2109）
