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冬半年影响江苏不同范围寒潮事件的特征及其环流成因

张梦 王艺橙 吴海英 王蓓元

气象学报2025,Vol.83Issue(2):270-285,16.
气象学报2025,Vol.83Issue(2):270-285,16.DOI:10.11676/qxxb2025.20240023

冬半年影响江苏不同范围寒潮事件的特征及其环流成因

Characteristics of cold surges affecting different areas of Jiangsu province,China in winter and corresponding circulation patterns

张梦 1王艺橙 2吴海英 3王蓓元1

作者信息

  • 1. 淮安市气象局,淮安,223001
  • 2. 淮安涟水国际机场有限责任公司,淮安,223432
  • 3. 江苏省气象台,南京,210041
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on daily air temperature observations and the JRA55 reanalysis data at 69 stations in Jiangsu during 1979-2021,spatiotemporal characteristics of cold wave events(CWE)affecting different areas in Jiangsu in winter(November to March)and corresponding circulation patterns are investigated.The results show that the number of regional cold wave events(R-CWE)affecting Jiangsu in winter was obviously more than that of the large-range cold wave events(L-CWE).The areas affected by R-CWE are mainly concentrated in the Huaibei area,and the areas affected by L-CWE are located in the middle part of Huaibei and southern part of Jianghuai.In addition,there are significantly more R-CWE in November,December and March than in January and February,and more L-CWE in November than in other months.The linear increase trend of R-CWE under global warming is more significant than that of L-CWE,especially that the frequency of R-CWE has increased significantly after 2010.The analysis of circulation shows that a pair of large baroclinic troughs and ridges near the middle and high latitudes of Eurasia are dominant at 500 hPa on day-4 of L-CWE,and cold air in the area north of 75°N can continuously flow southward following the northwest path,while the intensity of circulation anomalies corresponding to R-CWE is significantly weaker than that corresponding to L-CWE in the same period,and cold air mainly comes from the area south of 75°N.The degree to which the circulation system near the Ural Mountains intensifies is the key to distinguish the two types of CWE.On day-2,the intensity of the Siberian high during L-CWE can reach 1043 hPa,5 hPa larger than that during R-CWE.On day 0,its southern boundary extends to 31°N,while R-CWE is located near 38°N.Further investigation shows that the maximum instantaneous blocking frequency near the Ural mountains during the occurrence of L-CWE is 46%,and the anomaly of the Siberian high pressure index basically maintains from day-2 to day-1 and reaches a peak of 6.54 hPa on day-1,with an intensity about twice that of R-CWE.In the early stage of L-CWE,there is a Rossby wave train propagating from the middle and high latitudes to the southeast and can reach the southern part of Jiangsu,which is favorable for the occurrence of a more widespread cold wave event in Jiangsu.In contrast,the Rossby wave train during R-CWE starts 1-2 days later and the intensity is weaker.

关键词

江苏/寒潮/时空变化特征/环流异常/波作用通量

Key words

Jiangsu/Cold wave/Spatiotemporal characteristics/Circulation anomalies/Wave-activity flux

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

张梦,王艺橙,吴海英,王蓓元..冬半年影响江苏不同范围寒潮事件的特征及其环流成因[J].气象学报,2025,83(2):270-285,16.

基金项目

江苏省气象局科研项目(KQ202324). (KQ202324)

气象学报

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