中国生态农业学报（中英文）2025，Vol.33Issue(4)：820-833,14.DOI:10.12357/cjea.20240545
农业新质生产力发展水平时空演化及障碍因素研究
Spatial and temporal evolution of the development of new quality productivity of agricultural and obstacles to further development
摘要
Abstract
New quality productivity is predicted to become a new engine for driving China's future economic development,consequently,cultivating new quality productivity in agricultural and rural areas will not only contribute to the growth of the rural economy but also play an important role in promoting the process of agricultural modernization.In this study,we developed an evaluation index system of new quality productivity in agriculture using panel based on data obtained for 30 provinces(cities,autonomous regions)in China(excluding Xizang,Hong Kong,Macao,and Taiwan)from 2012 to 2022.Using longitudinal and transversal pulling grades,kernel density estimates,traditional and spatial Markov chain models,Dagum Gini coefficient measurement decomposition,and an obstacle degree model,we analyzed the levels of new quality productivity development in agriculture and found that these could be measured and identified using the following methods:the characteristics of spatial and temporal differentiation,regional differences,and obstacle factors.We found that the levels of new agricultural quality productivity development showed a steady upward trend during the examination period,and detected notable differences in the levels of development among the eastern,central,and western regions,and between the main grain-producing regions and the non-grain-producing regions.In terms of dimensions,green and digital pro-ductivity in agriculture were found to be in a more advanced state of development,and digital productivity showed strong growth dur-ing the study period.The level of development in each province was established to have certain spatial spillover effects,which had either a positive or negative influence on the development of neighboring provinces.The difference among the east,center,and west regions gradually emerged as the main sources of differences in the development of new agricultural quality productivity.Similarly,the criterion level of the differences among regions in the east,center and west have gradually emerged as the mam sources of differ-ences in the development of new quality agricultural productivity,scientific and technological productivity,and integration productiv-ity in the criterion layer,whereas the number of rural digital bases and the degree of integration of primary and tertiary industries in the indicator layer were currently the main obstacles to the further development of new quality agricultural productivity.关键词
农业新质生产力/时空分异/区域差异/障碍度模型Key words
agricultural new quality productivity/spatial and temporal differentiation/regional differences/obstacle degree model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
韩文燕,郭海红,王丹..农业新质生产力发展水平时空演化及障碍因素研究[J].中国生态农业学报（中英文）,2025,33(4):820-833,14.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(21BGL160)、山东省哲学社会科学青年人才团队项目(2024-QNRC-40)、青岛市社会救助兜底保障水平研究项目(6602424737)、青岛市哲学社会科学规划项目(QDSKL2401191)和青岛市哲学社会科学青年人才团队项目(青社联发[2024]8号)资助 This study was supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China(21BGL160),Shandong Province Philosophy and Social Science Young Talent Team Project(2024-QNRC-40),the Study Project on the Level of Social Assistance Pocket Guarantee in Qingdao City(6602424737),Qing-dao Philosophy and Social Science Planning Project(QDSKL2401191),and Qingdao Philosophy and Social Sciences Youth Talent Team(Qingshe Lianfa[2024]No.8). （21BGL160）
