人民黄河2025，Vol.47Issue(5)：15-21,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.05.003
城市群一体化对黄河流域低碳发展的影响机制研究
Research on the Influence Mechanism of Urban Agglomeration Integration on Low-Carbon Development in the Yellow River Basin
摘要
Abstract
The air and water environmental pollution problems caused by the energy-based industrial structure and coal-based energy con-sumption in the Yellow River Basin are one of the constraining factors for green,low-carbon,and high-quality development.Urban agglomer-ation integration is a process in which multiple cities collaborate in the economic,social,infrastructure,environmental protection and other aspects to enhance the overall sustainable development ability.As of 2023,there are four national-level urban agglomerations approved by the State Council located in the Yellow River Basin.In order to explore the impact of urban agglomeration integration on low-carbon development in the Yellow River Basin,based on the theoretical mechanism analysis and the panel data of 80 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2022,the implementation of the national-level urban agglomeration policy was regarded as a quasi-natural experiment.That is,the prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin included in the development plans of the four national-level urban agglomerations were taken as the experimental group,and the remaining prefecture-level cities as the control group.A multi-period difference-in-differences model was used for regression to explore the impact of urban agglomeration integration on low-carbon development in the Yellow River Basin,and parallel trend tests,robustness tests,mechanism tests,and spatial spillover effect tests were carried out.The results show that:a)Urban agglomeration integration can significantly promote low-carbon development in the Yellow River Basin;b)Urban agglomeration integration promotes low-carbon development in the Yellow River Basin by promoting industrial structure upgrading and technological innovation.Human capital and environmental regulation have a significant positive regulatory effect on the promotion of low-carbon development by urban agglom-eration integration;c)The impact of urban agglomeration integration on low-carbon development has a significant positive spatial spillover effect,and the geographical distance threshold for the spatial spillover effect is 200 km.At the end of the article,suggestions are put forward,such as further promoting the all-round development of urban agglomeration integration,improving government efficiency,dredging the two intermediary channels of industrial structure upgrading and technological innovation,and giving full play to the regulatory role of human cap-ital and environmental regulation.关键词
城市群一体化/低碳发展/多期双重差分模型/机制检验/空间溢出效应/黄河流域Key words
urban agglomeration integration/low-carbon development/multi-period difference-in-differences model/mechanism test/spatial spillover effect/Yellow River Basin分类
经济学引用本文复制引用
廖乐焕,董燕燕,曹华..城市群一体化对黄河流域低碳发展的影响机制研究[J].人民黄河,2025,47(5):15-21,7.基金项目
国家社会科学基金资助项目(23JL063) （23JL063）
国家自然科学基金资助项目(72364038) （72364038）
云南民族大学研究生科研创新基金资助项目(2024SKY046) （2024SKY046）
