统计与决策2025，Vol.41Issue(8)：142-147,6.
国际利率波动对中国物价的影响效应测度
Measurement of the Effect of International Interest Rate Fluctuation on China's Price
摘要
Abstract
Under the background of increasing global interest rate linkage,the impact of international interest rate fluctuation on China's prices cannot be ignored.This paper is based on the systematic theoretical induction and summary of the transmission effect of international interest rates on prices to construct a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium(DSGE)model that conforms to China's economic practice,then explores the impact of international interest rate fluctuation on China's prices,and finally com-pares the relevant measures to stabilize prices.The results show that fluctuations in international interest rates lead to changes in domestic prices in the same direction,especially when the fluctuations in international interest rates exceed 15%;the price fluctu-ations may exceed the price target of 2.5%set in the 2022 Government Work Report.In addition,international interest rate fluctu-ations have a more significant impact on prices on the supply side than on the demand side.关键词
国际利率/物价/冲击效应/DSGE模型Key words
international interest rate/price/shock effect/DSGE model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
毛剑玮..国际利率波动对中国物价的影响效应测度[J].统计与决策,2025,41(8):142-147,6.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重点项目(22ATJ006) （22ATJ006）
国家社会科学基金青年项目(22CTJ014) （22CTJ014）
山西省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目(2024W205) （2024W205）
