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成渝地区双城经济圈旅游业碳排放脱钩态势及影响因素研究

王贝贝 王小兰 侯兰功 李书琼

西安理工大学学报2025,Vol.41Issue(1):56-67,12.
西安理工大学学报2025,Vol.41Issue(1):56-67,12.DOI:10.19322/j.cnki.issn.1006-4710.2025.01.006

成渝地区双城经济圈旅游业碳排放脱钩态势及影响因素研究

Research on the decoupling trend and drivers of tourism emissions in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle

王贝贝 1王小兰 1侯兰功 1李书琼1

作者信息

  • 1. 西南科技大学 土木工程与建筑学院,四川 绵阳 621010
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to explore the decoupling relationship between tourism carbon emissions and tourism economy in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle,this paper adopts a combination of"bottom-up"and"top-down"methods to scientifically estimate the carbon emissions of tourism in 16 cities in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle from 2006 to 2021,and uses the Tapio decou-pling model and geographically weighted regression model to analyze the decoupling trend and in-fluencing factors of tourism carbon emissions in the economic circle.The results show that from 2005 to 2023,tourism carbon emissions in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle as a whole show obvious stage changes,first gradually rising,then significantly declining and then fluctua-ting back up.The time-order trend of tourism carbon emissions in the cities of the economic circle is obvious from 2005 to 2019,and the carbon emissions from the tourism industry in each city show a steady growth.From 2020 to 2021,except for Chengdu and Leshan,the carbon emissions from the tourism industry in other cities show a decreasing trend.From 2022 to 2023,the carbon emissions from the tourism industry in each city rebound.The economic circle has an overall weak decoupling trend of tourism carbon emissions.The overall decoupling of tourism carbon e-missions is a weak decoupling state,with the spatial evolution of the decoupling trend of tourism carbon emissions characterized by"good-inferior-excellent-good".The spatial differentiation of the decoupling trend of tourism carbon emissions in this economic circle is the result of the joint action of multiple factors.For this reason,we should deepen the advantages of the twin-city driv-ing role and jointly promote the low-carbon development of the tourism industry in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle with the municipal governments,enterprises,and related tourism bodies,so as to accelerate the ideal decoupling process of regional tourism carbon emissions.

关键词

旅游业碳排放/脱钩态势/地理加权回归模型/影响因素/成渝地区双城经济圈

Key words

tourism carbon emissions/decoupling trend/geographically weighted regression mod-el/influencing factors/Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

王贝贝,王小兰,侯兰功,李书琼..成渝地区双城经济圈旅游业碳排放脱钩态势及影响因素研究[J].西安理工大学学报,2025,41(1):56-67,12.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(41601612) (41601612)

四川省科技厅资助项目(19RKX0384) (19RKX0384)

绵阳市社会科学联合会资助项目(MY2022YB001) (MY2022YB001)

西安理工大学学报

OA北大核心

1006-4710

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