重庆理工大学学报2025,Vol.39Issue(8):125-136,12.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-8425(s).2025.04.012
中国对"一带一路"沿线国家OFDI带动出口了吗?
Does China's OFDI drive exports to countries along the Belt and Road:An spatial econometric analysis based on panel data from 61 countries
摘要
Abstract
Against the background of sluggish global economic growth and rising protectionism,the Belt and Road initiative provides opportunities for building an open world economy and strengthening regional economic integration.By constructing a spatial Durbin model,this paper studies the relationship between China's OFDI to 61 countries along the the Belt and Road and China's export trade with countries along the Belt and Road from 2006 to 2019.The paper finds that the GDP of the host country has a significant promoting effect on China's exports;the trade costs and bilateral exchange rates between the host country and China will significantly suppress China's exports;the total population of the host country does not significantly promote China's exports.The phased spatial econometric regression analysis shows that the positive policy effect of the Belt and Road initiative is very significant.Based on this,efforts should be made to expand diversified markets;reduce trade costs;enhance exchange rate stability and financial support;and strengthen market research and risk assessment.关键词
OFDI/出口贸易/空间杜宾模型/"一带一路"合作倡议Key words
OFDI/export trade/spatial Durbin model/the Belt and Road initiative分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王全意,李婷婷..中国对"一带一路"沿线国家OFDI带动出口了吗?[J].重庆理工大学学报,2025,39(8):125-136,12.基金项目
重庆市高等教育学会高等教育科学研究课题"'一带一路'倡议下重庆高校国际化人才培养的模式创新与路径选择"(CQGJ19B54) (CQGJ19B54)