干旱区地理2025，Vol.48Issue(5)：893-904,12.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.379
中国城市生态韧性时空特征及影响因素分析
Spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of urban ecological resilience in China
摘要
Abstract
The systematic analysis of the factors influencing urban ecological resilience and improvement in its levels are essential for achieving sustainable urban development and fostering"resilient cities".Based on panel data from 281 prefecture-level cities of China collected between 2005 and 2021,this study constructed evaluation indexes across three dimensions:resistance,adaptability,and resilience.The spatial and temporal evolution of ur-ban ecological resilience were characterized,and spatial and temporal geographically weighted regression models were applied.In addition,a global trend analysis was conducted to explore the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of influencing factors.The results showed the following.(1)From 2005 to 2021,the ecological resilience level of Chinese cities increased from 0.0207 to 0.0248,with an average annual growth rate of 1.140%.Over this period,the center of gravity for ecological resilience shifted along a northeast-southwest direction.The difference in eco-logical resilience levels initially expanded but then narrowed.(2)Economic development,industrial structure,top-ographical factors,environmental regulations,and human capital demonstrated positive effects on urban ecologi-cal resilience.However,the influence of these factors exhibited obvious spatial and temporal heterogeneity,with their effects varying significantly in terms of magnitude and direction across different regions.(3)The impact of influencing factors on urban ecological resilience exhibited a greater variation along the east-west direction com-pared to the north-south direction.The ecological resilience was observed to be most sensitive to changes in in-dustrial structure along the east-west direction,while environmental regulation had the greatest sensitivity along the north-south direction.关键词
城市生态韧性/时空地理加权回归模型/影响因素/时空异质性Key words
urban ecological resilience/spatiotemporal geographically weighted regression model/influencing factors/spatiotemporal heterogeneity引用本文复制引用
王立奇,李国柱..中国城市生态韧性时空特征及影响因素分析[J].干旱区地理,2025,48(5):893-904,12.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(18BJY081)资助 （18BJY081）
