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黄河流域市域可持续发展状态评价及其驱动因素分析

崔盼盼 张丽君 秦耀辰 夏四友

干旱区地理2025,Vol.48Issue(5):916-929,14.
干旱区地理2025,Vol.48Issue(5):916-929,14.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.357

黄河流域市域可持续发展状态评价及其驱动因素分析

Evaluation and its driving factors of sustainable development states in the cities of the Yellow River Basin

崔盼盼 1张丽君 1秦耀辰 2夏四友3

作者信息

  • 1. 河南大学地理与环境学院,黄河中下游数字地理技术教育部重点实验室,河南 开封 475004
  • 2. 河南大学地理与环境学院,黄河中下游数字地理技术教育部重点实验室,河南 开封 475004||河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心暨黄河文明省部共建协同创新中心,河南 开封 475004
  • 3. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101||纽约州立大学布法罗分校地理系,纽约 布法罗 14261
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Research on the sustainable development status of a region is critical for facilitating informed decision-making and effective management.This study established an evaluation framework for assessing sustainable de-velopment employing the concept of pairwise system interaction.The asset-debt method was applied to evaluate the sustainable development status of the Yellow River Basin in China from 2006 to 2020.Further,the internal dominant drivers of sustainable development were identified using the Weaver-Thomas model.The results indi-cated the following.(1)The sustainable development states of the Yellow River Basin are not optimistic.Al-though the asset level has exhibited positive growth,both debt and net asset levels exhibit a declining trend,there-by signaling an imbalance.(2)The spatial distribution of asset,debt,and net asset levels demonstrates significant differentiation characteristics.It follows an evolving pattern from an inverted"U"type to a gradual climbing trend across latitudinal directions.Radially,it yields a relatively stable pattern of"low in the north and high in the south".In addition,the debt level exhibits a circular spatial structure,decreasing incrementally from north to south.Both the high-and low-value areas of net assets exhibit temporal inertia and spatial agglomeration.(3)Cer-tain differences exist in the dominant drivers of different types of cities.Among them,the low asset-low debt type cities exhibit intense leading dynamics and complex structures,with ecological efficiency being the primary driv-ing system.Conversely,the other three city types demonstrate less intense leading dynamics,which are primarily influenced by asset-related factors.However,in low asset-high debt cities,debt-related dynamics play a relatively larger role.Therefore,cities in the Yellow River Basin should optimize development paths based on their own de-velopment characteristics in the future.

关键词

系统交互/资产/负债/Weaver-Thomas模型/黄河流域

Key words

system interaction/assets/debts/Weaver-Thomas model/Yellow River Basin

引用本文复制引用

崔盼盼,张丽君,秦耀辰,夏四友..黄河流域市域可持续发展状态评价及其驱动因素分析[J].干旱区地理,2025,48(5):916-929,14.

基金项目

河南省优秀青年科学基金项目(222300420030) (222300420030)

国家自然科学基金项目(42171295,42071294,42101206) (42171295,42071294,42101206)

河南省高等教育教学改革项目(2019SJGLX043) (2019SJGLX043)

河南省青年科学基金项目(222300420132)资助 (222300420132)

干旱区地理

OA北大核心

1000-6060

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