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2024年全球碳市场发展特点及趋势展望

周新媛 徐东 王晓平 宋镇 何秀文

国际石油经济2025,Vol.33Issue(4):73-82,10.
国际石油经济2025,Vol.33Issue(4):73-82,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2025.04.010

2024年全球碳市场发展特点及趋势展望

Development characteristics and trends of global carbon market in 2024

周新媛 1徐东 1王晓平 2宋镇 1何秀文1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油规划总院
  • 2. 中国石油天然气股份有限公司财务部
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

An increasing number of countries and regions across the world are actively exploring the establishment of carbon market systems that meet their own needs.The development of the global carbon market in 2024 presents such characteristics as the coverage of the global carbon emissions trading system continues to expand,the carbon prices in major global carbon markets have fluctuated,the international carbon credit market has shifted from a crisis of trust to a phase of reshaping,the trend of interconnectivity in the global carbon emissions trading market continues to strengthen.Over the next five years,the global carbon emissions trading system is expected to continue expanding its coverage.There will be significant differences in carbon price forecasts,with the EU carbon market leading the upward trend.Trust in the carbon credit market will gradually recover,and market demands will become more diversified.There will be innovative practices in the carbon tax system and a global diffusion of the carbon tariffmechanism.The paper proposes that China should actively expand the coverage of its national carbon market,improve the carbon price formation mechanism and gradually increase carbon prices,refine the carbon credit system and promote market financialization,study the introduction of a carbon tax and enhance responses to other countries'carbon tariffs,and actively participate in international cooperation to strengthen information sharing.

关键词

碳排放权交易/碳配额/碳价/碳信用/碳税

Key words

carbon emission trading/carbon quota/carbon prices/carbon credit/carbon tax

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

周新媛,徐东,王晓平,宋镇,何秀文..2024年全球碳市场发展特点及趋势展望[J].国际石油经济,2025,33(4):73-82,10.

国际石油经济

1004-7298

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