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基于CNN-LSTM风光荷预测的主动配电网双层扩展规划方法

朱夏 陈颂 袁明瀚 刘扬洋

高压电器2025,Vol.61Issue(5):218-227,10.
高压电器2025,Vol.61Issue(5):218-227,10.DOI:10.13296/j.1001-1609.hva.2025.05.023

基于CNN-LSTM风光荷预测的主动配电网双层扩展规划方法

Double Layer Expansion Planning Method for Active Distribution Network Based on CNN-LSTM Wind,Solar and Load Prediction

朱夏 1陈颂 1袁明瀚 1刘扬洋1

作者信息

  • 1. 国网上海市电力公司,上海 200120
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With access of a large amount of renewable energy to the distribution network,expansion planning of the distribution network is required due to the uncertainty of its output.To this end,a method based on convolutional neu-ral network and long short-term memory network is firstly proposed to predict the wind and solar load output,and then a dual-layer expansion planning model of the active distribution network is constructed.The upper-level plan-ning model takes the lowest annual comprehensive cost as the optimization goal and,at the same time,the transfor-mation and upgrading of the line and various costs is considered.While,the lower-level operation model takes the lowest annual comprehensive operation cost and the smallest node voltage offset as the optimization goal and the oper-ating conditions,distributed power supply and energy storage planning are also considered.After the upper and lower layer correlation modeling,the two-layer model is transformed into a multi-objective optimization problem,and then the normalized normal constraint method is used for solution so to obtain a uniformly distributed pareto front.Final-ly,the effectiveness of the method is verified through example.

关键词

主动配电网/卷积神经网络/长短期记忆网络/双层规划模型/归一化法向约束法

Key words

active distribution network/convolutional neural network/long short-term memory network/two-level planning model/NNC method

引用本文复制引用

朱夏,陈颂,袁明瀚,刘扬洋..基于CNN-LSTM风光荷预测的主动配电网双层扩展规划方法[J].高压电器,2025,61(5):218-227,10.

基金项目

国网上海电力公司技术项目(52090022004J).Project Supported by State Grid Shanghai Municipal Electric Power Company Technology Project(52090022004J). (52090022004J)

高压电器

OA北大核心

1001-1609

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