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Development of a Four-Dimensional Diagnostic Analysis Model for Assessing Ensemble Forecast Uncertainty

Fei PENG Yuejian ZHU Jing CHEN Xiaoli LI Jian TANG

气象学报（英文版）2025，Vol.39Issue(2)：288-302,15.

气象学报（英文版）2025，Vol.39Issue(2)：288-302,15.DOI:10.1007/s13351-025-4184-4

Development of a Four-Dimensional Diagnostic Analysis Model for Assessing Ensemble Forecast Uncertainty

Fei PENG ¹Yuejian ZHU ¹Jing CHEN ¹Xiaoli LI ¹Jian TANG²

作者信息

1. CMA Earth System Modeling and Prediction Centre,China Meteorological Administration(CMA),Beijing 100081||State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather Science and Technology,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081||Key Laboratory of Earth System Modeling and Prediction,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081
2. National Meteorological Centre,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081
折叠

摘要

关键词

ensemble forecast/forecast uncertainty/spread-error relationship/ensemble variance-error variance re-lationship/diagnostic analysis

Key words

ensemble forecast/forecast uncertainty/spread-error relationship/ensemble variance-error variance re-lationship/diagnostic analysis

引用本文复制引用

Fei PENG,Yuejian ZHU,Jing CHEN,Xiaoli LI,Jian TANG..Development of a Four-Dimensional Diagnostic Analysis Model for Assessing Ensemble Forecast Uncertainty[J].气象学报（英文版）,2025,39(2):288-302,15.

基金项目

Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2242213 and 41905090). （U2242213 and 41905090）

气象学报（英文版）

ISSN：0894-0525

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