广西医学2025，Vol.47Issue(3)：419-427,9.DOI:10.11675/j.issn.0253-4304.2025.03.14
2014-2022年广西壮族自治区人间布鲁氏菌病流行特征及时空聚集性分析
Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal clustering analyses of brucellosis in humans in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from 2014 to 2022
摘要
Abstract
Objective To analyze the epidemiological and spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of brucellosis in humans in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region(hereinafter referred to as Guangxi)from 2014 to 2022,so as to provide a scientific basis for the formulation of prevention and control measures.Methods The reported brucellosis in humans case data were obtained from the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System.The JoinPoint 5.2.0.0 software was adopted to perform trend analysis of the morbidity of brucellosis in humans from 2014 to 2022.The ArcGIS 10.8 software was employed for visualization and spatial auto-correlation analysis of spatial distribution of brucellosis in humans morbidity.The SaTScan 10.1.3 software was used for spatiotemporal scanning analysis of brucellosis in humans morbidity.Results From 2014 to 2022,a total of 1523 brucellosis in humans cases were reported in Guangxi,with an average annual morbidity of 0.34 per 100 000,showing an overall upward trend(average annual percentage change[AAPC]=41.37%,P<0.05).The peak of disease onset occurred from March to August.The highest morbidity was observed among males,individuals aged 50 to 59,and farmers/herders.From 2015 to 2022,the morbidity of brucellosis in human in Guangxi's counties(districts)exhibited a clustered distribution(global Moran's values all>0,P<0.05).The results of local spatial auto-correlation analysis revealed that"high-high"clustering counties(districts)were mainly concentrated in Guilin,Hezhou,Liuzhou,and Laibin.Spatiotemporal scanning detected a total of four spatiotemporal clusters,primarily located in Hezhou,Guilin,Liuzhou,Yulin,and Guigang,with clustering periods in 2016,2017,2021,and 2022,respectively.Conclusion From 2014 to 2022,the prevalence of brucellosis in humans in Guangxi continues to rise,with farmers/herders and middle-aged/elderly individuals being the most affected populations.The disease exhibits spatiotemporal clustering,with spatiotemporal clusters mainly concentrated in Hezhou,Guilin,Liuzhou,Yulin,and Guigang.关键词
布鲁氏菌/流行特征/空间自相关/时空聚集性/广西壮族自治区Key words
Brucella/Epidemiological characteristics/Spatial auto-correlation/Spatiotemporal clustering/Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region分类
中医学引用本文复制引用
陈飞蓉,覃青连,陈姗姗,赖诗艺,梁浩,叶力,蒋俊俊,梁银连..2014-2022年广西壮族自治区人间布鲁氏菌病流行特征及时空聚集性分析[J].广西医学,2025,47(3):419-427,9.基金项目
国家重点研发计划"病原学与防疫技术体系研究"重点专项项目(2022YFC2305001) （2022YFC2305001）
