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农业碳汇修正下省际横向碳补偿额度测算:基于七大地理分区的实证研究

杜丽娟 孟怡辰 杜美卿 张亚莉 任伟

生态与农村环境学报2025,Vol.41Issue(5):579-589,11.
生态与农村环境学报2025,Vol.41Issue(5):579-589,11.DOI:10.19741/j.issn.1673-4831.2024.0073

农业碳汇修正下省际横向碳补偿额度测算:基于七大地理分区的实证研究

Measurement of Inter-provincial Horizontal Carbon Compensation Credits under Agricultural Carbon Sink Cor-rection:An Empirical Study Based on the Seven Geographical Divisions in China

杜丽娟 1孟怡辰 2杜美卿 3张亚莉 1任伟1

作者信息

  • 1. 华北理工大学经济管理学院,河北唐山 063210
  • 2. 华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉 430070
  • 3. CFLA税务师事务所,魁北克布罗萨德 J4Z 0N5
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Integrating agricultural carbon sinks into horizontal carbon compensation is crucial for unlocking their value and enhancing regional ecological governance.In this study,carbon compensation credits were empirically calculated for inter-provincial horizontal compensation within each of the seven geographical regions in China.Using data on energy,agricul-ture,and other sectors from 31 provinces from 2005 to 2021,the"physical amount"of carbon compensation for each prov-ince was measured.By introducing carbon emissions into the trans-log production function and applying ridge regression,the shadow prices of carbon emissions were determined and adopted as compensation standards.Additionally,the"monetary amount"of carbon compensation for each province was also calculated and adjusted using the Pearl growth curve.The results are as follows:(1)Carbon emissions from energy consumption and the net agricultural carbon sinks in the seven geographical regions have shown increasing trends,with increases ranging from 35.6% to 241.2% for energy consumption and from 4.93% to 62.9% for agricultural carbon sinks.(2)The order of land carbon intensity,from highest to lowest,is as follows:East China>North China>South China>Central China>Northeast China>Southwest China>Northwest China,with values ranging from 362.3 to 2 441.5 t·km-2.Significant differences exist in land carbon intensity across geographical regions,reflecting varying environmental pressures.(3)The shadow prices of carbon emissions are rising,ranging from 234.6 to 2 200.9 yuan·t-1,with adjusted values ranging from 172.6 to 326.9 yuan·t-1.(4)The total carbon compensation amounts have risen year by year across the seven geographical regions,ranked as follows:East China>North China>South China>Northeast China>Northwest China>Southwest China>Central China,ranging from 2.60 to 105.85 billion yuan,with increases ranging from 68.5%to 582.7%.(5)Provinces with high carbon pay-ment or compensation intensities are concentrated in East China,North China,South China,and Northeast China.Shanxi,Shandong,Liaoning,Jiangsu,Guangdong,and Shaanxi are high-payment areas,while Jilin,Anhui,Jiangxi,Fujian,Guangxi,and Hainan are high-compensation areas in these geographical regions.

关键词

农业碳汇/横向转移支付/相对碳收支/影子价格/超越对数生产函数/Pearl成长曲线

Key words

agricultural carbon sink/horizontal fiscal transfer/relative carbon balance/shadow price/trans-log produc-tion function/Pearl growth curve

分类

经济学

引用本文复制引用

杜丽娟,孟怡辰,杜美卿,张亚莉,任伟..农业碳汇修正下省际横向碳补偿额度测算:基于七大地理分区的实证研究[J].生态与农村环境学报,2025,41(5):579-589,11.

基金项目

河北省社会科学基金项目(HB20YJ009) (HB20YJ009)

生态与农村环境学报

OA北大核心

1673-4831

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