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教育获得、婚育观念转变与生育意愿

张罗

人口与经济Issue(3):1-14,14.
人口与经济Issue(3):1-14,14.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4149.2025.03.001

教育获得、婚育观念转变与生育意愿

Education Acquisition,Marriage and Parenthood Conceptual Change,and Fertility Intention:Analysis Based on Family Culture Change and Self-concern Return

张罗1

作者信息

  • 1. 华中科技大学 教育科学研究院,湖北 武汉 430074
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In recent years,China's fertility rate has dropped dramatically,which has aroused widespread concern in the society,while the relationship between education and fertility is highly controversial.Based on the CGSS 2021 data,we start from the cultural conceptual level to explore the implicit path of marriage and childbearing conceptual change in the influence of education acquisition on fertility intention.It is found that education acquisition can change the concept of the purpose of marriage,weaken the concept of having children as the primary purpose and enhance the concept of pursuing one's own happiness;impede the transmission of the father's will,i.e.,reduce the compliance with the"parents'order";weaken the concept of"raising children for the sake of old age";and reduce the concept of"rewarding child-rearing".The three paths that reduce fertility intentions are that education reduces the willingness to have children,and that education reduces the willingness to have children.The underlying relationship is that education enables individuals to reduce their dependence on their parents and their expectations of their offspring,thus returning their self-concern.In addition,there is heterogeneity in the above effects by gender as well as by level of family of origin literacy.In terms of gender differences,education has a significant negative effect on women,but a positive effect on men;the change in the concept of marriage and parenthood is mediated in the female group,but suppressed in the male group.With regard to family culture differences,the intrinsic relationship between education acquisition,change in marriage and parenthood concepts and fertility intentions is only significant in the group of families with low and middle education,but not in the group of families with high education.Based on the findings of the study,it is proposed to strengthen the education on marriage and parenthood,form a perfect social counselling system on marriage and parenthood and actively promote the development of new-concept marriage and fertility culture;to change the concept of mandatory"family reference"of the fathers'generation and welcome the"new familialism";to further improve the childcare protection system,and to call on men to actively return to the reproductive arena.The inspiration of this study is that the concept of marriage and parenthood should be changed to meet the new familyism.

关键词

教育获得/婚育观念转变/生育意愿/中介效应/遮掩效应

Key words

education acquisition/marriage and parenthood conceptual change/fertility intention/mediation effect/suppression effect

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

张罗..教育获得、婚育观念转变与生育意愿[J].人口与经济,2025,(3):1-14,14.

人口与经济

OA北大核心

1000-4149

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