人口与经济Issue(3)：117-132,16.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4149.2025.03.009
劳动者技能错配的动态轨迹及其累积工资效应
The Dynamic Trajectory of Laborers'Skill Mismatch and Its Cumulative Wage Effect
摘要
Abstract
The wage penalty phenomenon of skill mismatch of workers has been frequently observed,but the long-term evolution characteristics of this adverse state and its cumulative wage impact are easily ignored.Based on the tracking data of China Labor-force Dynamic Survey(CLDS)series,the study found that the skill matching trajectories can be roughly clustered into four types by using sequence analysis technology,among which the"skill adaptation"trajectories account for the highest proportion.Based on the growth curve model,when workers are in the trajectory of"mismatch lock"(both horizontal and vertical)or"inferior direction to transfer",compared with the trajectory of"adaptation lock",workers will face accumulative wage losses in the long run,where the accumulation of disadvantages shows an accelerating feature.However,in both horizontal and vertical dimensions of skills,the state of skill mismatch presents two kinds of characteristics in the long term,and this disadvantage shows an accelerating feature(including horizontal and vertical dimensions),namely,initial locking and process locking.Based on the above findings,relevant suggestions are put forward to reduce the initial occurrence of skill mismatch and block it in the process when it has been formed.关键词
技能错配/动态轨迹/工资效应/错配锁定Key words
skill mismatch/dynamic trajectory/wage effect/mismatch locking分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
赵昕,蒋文莉,王礼进..劳动者技能错配的动态轨迹及其累积工资效应[J].人口与经济,2025,(3):117-132,16.基金项目
2024年度教育部人文社会科学研究项目"新业态下灵活就业者工作流动轨迹的形成机制、长期收入效应及优化研究"(24YJC790241) （24YJC790241）
2023年湖北省教育厅哲学社会科学研究项目"数字化转型背景下劳动者数字技能对性别工资差距的影响研究——基于禀赋与报酬差异双视角"(23Q091) （23Q091）
2022年度湖北工业大学博士科研启动基金项目"我国农民工数字技能的工资提振及其分配效应研究"(XJ2022003501). （XJ2022003501）
