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基于时序运行模拟的新能源电力系统典型场景生成方法

彭竹弈 宋杉 许偲轩 顾康慧 葛毅 王荃荃 孙文涛

浙江电力2025,Vol.44Issue(5):66-75,10.
浙江电力2025,Vol.44Issue(5):66-75,10.DOI:10.19585/j.zjdl.202505007

基于时序运行模拟的新能源电力系统典型场景生成方法

A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations

彭竹弈 1宋杉 1许偲轩 1顾康慧 2葛毅 1王荃荃 1孙文涛1

作者信息

  • 1. 国网江苏省电力有限公司经济技术研究院,南京 210009
  • 2. 中国能源建设集团江苏省电力设计院有限公司,南京 210018
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Traditional clustering methods based on source-load information struggle to accurately describe the time-sequenced operational characteristics of renewable energy power systems.To address this,a typical scenario genera-tion method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations is proposed,con-sidering both the AC power flow distribution and startup-shutoff strategies for units.Firstly,a unit combination model that incorporates AC power flow constraints is constructed,and a two-stage solution strategy based on second-order cone relaxation is adopted to perform 8,760-hour time-sequenced simulations in the multi-period optimal power flow model.Secondly,based on data characteristics such as renewable energy output levels,line congestion conditions,and unit startup-shutoff from the time-sequenced simulation results,an improved K-means algorithm is employed to extract typical scenarios.Finally,the validity of the proposed method is verified through a case study,providing a reference for renewable energy power system planning and scheduling.

关键词

全时序运行模拟/最优潮流/机组组合/二阶锥松弛/典型场景

Key words

full-time sequence simulation/optimal power flow/unit combination/second-order cone relaxation/typical scenario

引用本文复制引用

彭竹弈,宋杉,许偲轩,顾康慧,葛毅,王荃荃,孙文涛..基于时序运行模拟的新能源电力系统典型场景生成方法[J].浙江电力,2025,44(5):66-75,10.

基金项目

国网江苏省电力有限公司科技项目(J2023149) (J2023149)

浙江电力

1007-1881

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