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Deterministic epidemic models overestimate the basic reproduction number of observed outbreaks

Wajid Ali Christopher E.Overton Robert R.Wilkinson Kieran J.Sharkey

传染病建模（英文）2024，Vol.9Issue(3)：680-688,9.

传染病建模（英文）2024，Vol.9Issue(3)：680-688,9.DOI:10.1016/j.idm.2024.02.007

Deterministic epidemic models overestimate the basic reproduction number of observed outbreaks

Wajid Ali ¹Christopher E.Overton ¹Robert R.Wilkinson ²Kieran J.Sharkey¹

作者信息

1. Department of Mathematical Sciences,University of Liverpool,Peach Street,Liverpool,L69 7ZX,England,United Kingdom
2. Department of Applied Mathematics,Liverpool John Moores University,Byrom Street,Liverpool,L3 5UX,England,United Kingdom
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摘要

关键词

Estimating R0/Simple birth-death process/Major outbreak/Conditioned epidemic/Stochastic fade-out

Key words

Estimating R0/Simple birth-death process/Major outbreak/Conditioned epidemic/Stochastic fade-out

引用本文复制引用

Wajid Ali,Christopher E.Overton,Robert R.Wilkinson,Kieran J.Sharkey..Deterministic epidemic models overestimate the basic reproduction number of observed outbreaks[J].传染病建模（英文）,2024,9(3):680-688,9.

基金项目

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 955708. （）

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