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基于机器学习的高压转子危险点温度预测

潘蕾 陈帅尧 王海涛 张君正

东南大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.55Issue(3):831-838,8.
东南大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.55Issue(3):831-838,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2025.03.025

基于机器学习的高压转子危险点温度预测

Dangerous components temperature prediction of high-pressure rotor based on machine learning

潘蕾 1陈帅尧 2王海涛 3张君正2

作者信息

  • 1. 东南大学能源与环境学院,南京 211189||东南大学大型发电装备安全运行与智能测控国家工程研究中心,南京 211189
  • 2. 东南大学能源与环境学院,南京 211189
  • 3. 中国能源建设集团江苏省电力设计院有限公司发电工程公司,南京 211102
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To address the challenges of predicting the critical point temperatures of high-pressure rotors during operation,this study proposes a real-time multi-step rolling prediction method based on machine learning.Firstly,finite element analysis was employed to obtain temperature data for critical points on the rotor,provid-ing a reliable data foundation for subsequent modeling.To enhance data quality and prediction accuracy,data denoising and feature selection algorithms were applied to preprocess the operational data.Then,nine differ-ent machine learning models were designed,including convolutional neural networks(CNN),long short-term memory networks(LSTM),bidirectional LSTM(BiLSTM),and their variants combined with Attention mechanisms,as well as Transformer and temporal convolutional networks(TCN).Finally,the predictive per-formance of these models was evaluated through experimental comparative analysis,revealing that the CNN-BiLSTM-Attention and TCN models demonstrate the best accuracy,adapting to the complex operating conditions of high-pressure rotors.The proposed method provides an efficient predictive tool for temperature forecasting and safety management of high-pressure rotors,contributing to the safe,stable,and economical operations of power units.

关键词

汽轮机转子/特征筛选/机器学习/温度预测

Key words

turbine rotor/feature screening/machine learning/temperature prediction

分类

数理科学

引用本文复制引用

潘蕾,陈帅尧,王海涛,张君正..基于机器学习的高压转子危险点温度预测[J].东南大学学报(自然科学版),2025,55(3):831-838,8.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划资助项目(2022YFB4100403). (2022YFB4100403)

东南大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心

1001-0505

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