国际石油经济2025，Vol.33Issue(5)：89-95,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2025.05.011
云南省天然气发展分析及策略研究
Analysis and strategy on natural gas development in Yunnan Province
摘要
Abstract
The proportion of natural gas within primary energy consumption continues to rise in Yunnan Province,though utilization efficiency remains suboptimal.By 2023,it has constructed approximately 3,600 kilometers of natural gas trunk and branch pipelines,primarily sourced from Myanmar pipeline gas,Sichuan conventional gas,Zhaotong shale gas,and LNG supplies via Guangxi's LNG terminal.With 2023 consumption reaching 3 billion cubic meters,its natural gas market demonstrates significant regional disparities in development.Based on project analysis methodology,It is expected that its demand will reach 3.97 billion cubic meters by 2025,rising further to 6.36 and 7.85 billion cubic meters in 2030 and 2035 respectively.Since its market growth faces constraints including limited overall demand,insufficient market competitiveness,and low return on pipeline investments,the paper proposes the following strategic recommendations:establishing a diversified gas supply framework to strengthen downstream buyers'bargain power,enhancing natural gas utilizations and implementing strategic market expansion,advancing oil and gas sector system reforms and optiming pipeline transmission pricing mechanisms,and expediting network infrastructure upgrades and improving provincial resource allocation flexibility.关键词
云南省/天然气/天然气消费/项目分析法/管网规划/管输价格Key words
Yunnan Province/natural gas/natural gas consumption/project analysis method/pipeline network planning/pipeline transmission prices分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王彦新,王赛磊,冯超,薛杉,潘毅,李文付..云南省天然气发展分析及策略研究[J].国际石油经济,2025,33(5):89-95,7.基金项目
国家石油天然气管网集团有限公司科学研究与技术开发项目"全国天然气管网决策支持平台关键模型研发",项目编号:SJSGCXGS202301 （）
