河北农业科学2025，Vol.29Issue(1)：25-30,105,7.DOI:10.12148/hbnykx.20250001
我国奶牛养殖业碳排放测算及动态演变分析
Calculation and Dynamic Evolution Analysis of Carbon Emissions Dairy Farming Industry in China
摘要
Abstract
Green and low-carbon agriculture,as a key path to address global climate change and promote sus-tainable agricultural development,has received widespread attention in recent years.As an important component of the agricultural sector,dairy farming has particularly prominent carbon emissions issues.Based on non-point source data from 2012 to 2022,using kernel density estimation method and spatial correlation,the distribution,temporal evolution,and spatial correlation degree of carbon emissions dairy farming industry in China were analyzed.The results showed that from 2012 to 2022,the total carbon emissions from dairy farming in China,as well as the carbon emissions from cow intestinal fermentation and manure management,showed a consistent trend of overall decline.The center of the kernel density curve of carbon emissions from dairy farming tended to shift to the right,and the peak in 2022 was significantly reduced and the range of change was narrower compared to 2012,indicating that carbon emissions from dairy farming in various regions were evolving from con-centration to dispersion.In 2022,carbon emissions from dairy farming industry in China mainly exhibited H-H and L-L spatial clustering characteristics,with a global positive spatial autocorrelation.Based on the conclusion,the countermeasures and suggestions to strengthen government support and promote the research and development of technologies such as clean energy were proposed.关键词
奶牛养殖业/碳排放测算/核密度估计/空间相关性分析Key words
Dairy farming industry/Carbon emis-sion measurement/Kernel density estimation/Spatial correlation analysis分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李东桧,刘逸清,李梦迪,张河,张艳新..我国奶牛养殖业碳排放测算及动态演变分析[J].河北农业科学,2025,29(1):25-30,105,7.基金项目
河北省科技计划项目"河北省奶业振兴重大技术创新能力监测及其评价体系研究"(19227511D) （19227511D）
沧州市社会科学发展研究"政府补贴与绿色奶牛养殖业发展的演化博弈分析"(2023248) （2023248）
河北省现代农业产业技术体系建设专项资金(HBCT2024230301) （HBCT2024230301）
河北省省属高等学校基本科研业务费研究项目(KY2023084) （KY2023084）
河北省高等学校人文社会科学研究项目"内外双驱动机制下河北省绿色低碳经济实现路径研究"(SQ2024175) （SQ2024175）
河北省高等学校创新训练项目"'双碳'目标下中国奶牛养殖业碳排放特征及影响因素研究"(2024016) （2024016）
河北省高等学校创新训练项目"全产业链视角的河北省奶业碳排放研究"(2024018) （2024018）
