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血清活性氧水平对老年慢性肾脏病患者进展为终末期肾病的预测价值

虞妙婷 张丽 杨文君 马丽

国际老年医学杂志2025,Vol.46Issue(3):318-321,4.
国际老年医学杂志2025,Vol.46Issue(3):318-321,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-7593.2025.03.011

血清活性氧水平对老年慢性肾脏病患者进展为终末期肾病的预测价值

Predictive value of serum reactive oxygen species levels in end-stage renal disease occurrence among elderly patients with chronic kidney disease

虞妙婷 1张丽 1杨文君 1马丽1

作者信息

  • 1. 新疆医科大学第一附属医院肾病三科,乌鲁木齐 830000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective To analyze the predictive value of serum reactive oxygen species(ROS)levels in end-stage renal disease occurrence among elderly patients with chronic kidney disease.Methods A total of 174 chronic kidney disease patients who received treatment at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from January 2020 to December 2023 were selected as the research subjects.Patients were divided into a progressive group and a non progressive group based on whether they had progressed to end-stage renal disease,with 49 cases in the progressive group and 125 cases in the non progressive group.Baseline dates were col-lected using a commercialized enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kit to detect serum ROS levels in patients.Multivariate logistic re-gression models were used to analyze the correlation between serum ROS levels and chronic kidney disease progression,and ROC curves were used to analyze the predictive efficacy of serum ROS levels for the progression of chronic kidney disease to end-stage renal disease.Results Age,male proportion,systolic blood pressure,and 24-hour urinary protein quantification and sumer ROS levels in the progressive group were higher than those in the non progressive group(P<0.05),while estimated glomerular filtration rate was lower than that in the non progressive group(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression lines showed that serum ROS was an inde-pendent risk factor for progression to end-stage renal disease in elderly patients with chronic kidney disease after adjusting for confound-ers(P<0.05).ROC curves showed that serum ROS cut-off value for predicting progression of chronic kidney disease was 14.61 ng/mL,predicted AUC was 0.81(95%CI:0.75 to 0.88),sensitivity was 84.8%,and specificity was 70.2%.Conclusion Serum ROS levels are significantly associated with the risk of progression to end-stage renal disease in elderly patients with chronic kid-ney disease and have some predictive value.

关键词

慢性肾脏病/血清活性氧/终末期肾病/预测价值

Key words

Chronic kidney disease/Serum reactive oxygen species/End-stage renal disease/Predictive value

引用本文复制引用

虞妙婷,张丽,杨文君,马丽..血清活性氧水平对老年慢性肾脏病患者进展为终末期肾病的预测价值[J].国际老年医学杂志,2025,46(3):318-321,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(81960145) (81960145)

国际老年医学杂志

1674-7593

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