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谣言止于智者:认知战环境下谣言控制模型研究

刘亦欣 夏一雪 兰月新

情报杂志2025,Vol.44Issue(6):138-148,11.
情报杂志2025,Vol.44Issue(6):138-148,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2025.06.018

谣言止于智者:认知战环境下谣言控制模型研究

Rumors End with the Sage:A Study on Rumor Control Models in the Context of Cognitive Warfare

刘亦欣 1夏一雪 1兰月新1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国人民警察大学网络舆情治理研究中心 廊坊 065000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Research purpose]In the context of cognitive warfare,the rampant spread of rumors has severely threatened public rational cognition and social stability.This study is guided by the goal of enhancing the cognitive abilities of individuals and groups,striving to seize the"first-mover advantage"and achieve the objective of"rumors ending with the sage".[Research method]By summarizing the new characteristics of rumors in the cognitive warfare environment,this study constructs a rumor control model based on the mechanisms of online rumor propagation and the SIR model framework.It introduces cognitive warfare parameters,such as cognitive interference rates and cognitive defense parameters,including resistance vaccines based on common-sense logic and targeted vaccines focusing on addressing specific issues.[Research result/conclusion]The equilibrium points of the model are determined to identify the stability and threshold conditions of rumor propagation.Simulation experiments are conducted to observe the impact of changes in cognitive warfare parameters on rumor spread.The results validate the feasibility of two proactive rumor control methods:"foreseeing before emergence"and"averting danger before it forms".Practical strategies tailored to the newly summarized characteristics are also proposed.

关键词

认知战/网络谣言/谣言传播/控制机理/控制模型/SIR模型

Key words

cognitive warfare/online rumors/rumor propagation/control mechanism/control model/SIR model

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

刘亦欣,夏一雪,兰月新..谣言止于智者:认知战环境下谣言控制模型研究[J].情报杂志,2025,44(6):138-148,11.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金项目"认知战条件下舆论生态风险建模与防范机制研究"(编号:24BXW059)研究成果. (编号:24BXW059)

情报杂志

OA北大核心

1002-1965

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