水利经济2025，Vol.43Issue(3)：13-19,7.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1003-9511.2025.03.003
基于演化博弈的灌溉用水户水权交易相关主体行为决策
Decision-making behavior of stakeholders in irrigation water rights trading based on evolutionary game theory
摘要
Abstract
This paper takes the behavior decisions of relevant subjects in the irrigation water rights trading process as the research clue,constructing an evolutionary game model involving local government,water supply agencies,and farmers.Based on a survey of 498 rural households in Changji,Xinjiang,it utilizes MATLAB tools to conduct evolutionary simulation analysis of the decision-making of relevant subjects in the irrigation water rights trading process.The results show that:local governments can set a reasonable reward and punishment base,At the same time,increasing the price of farmers' repurchased water rights to more than 5.58 times of the implemented water price can effectively motivate water supply institutions to adopt active water supply strategies;the water supply efficiency of water supply institutions is the key factor that determines the conclusion of water rights transactions of irrigation water users,and the improvement of water supply efficiency can not only enhance farmers' willingness to trade,but also significantly reduce the water right buyback cost by local governments;farmers' willingness to participate in water rights trading is affected by the active operation of water supply institutions,and the water supply efficiency of trading water rights requires an additional increase of at least 0.034,and local governments should introduce more incentive water right buyback prices.关键词
演化博弈/灌溉用水户/水权交易/行为决策/案例仿真Key words
evolutionary game/irrigation water user/water rights trading/behavioral decision making/case simulation分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
罗万云,赵栋淳,王金霞..基于演化博弈的灌溉用水户水权交易相关主体行为决策[J].水利经济,2025,43(3):13-19,7.基金项目
国家社会科学基金青年项目(21CJY038) （21CJY038）
自治区高校基本科研业务费科研项目(XJEDU2024P003) （XJEDU2024P003）
