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地下水位对河水位的响应暨时序预测分析

郭天辰 钱睿智 刘海婧 张艺铭 朱晓跃

陕西水利Issue(5):22-24,28,4.
陕西水利Issue(5):22-24,28,4.

地下水位对河水位的响应暨时序预测分析

Analysis of Response and Timing Prediction of Groundwater Level to River Water Level

郭天辰 1钱睿智 1刘海婧 1张艺铭 1朱晓跃1

作者信息

  • 1. 江苏省水文水资源勘测局泰州分局,江苏泰州 225300
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The Xinghua River Network District is located in the Huaihe River Basin and the climate is humid.Under the influence of years of meteorological conditions,the rise and fall of the groundwater level have a strong response rate and a close correlation to the changes in the river water level.The four groups of water level stations in Xinghua area and their corresponding groundwater monitoring stations were selected,and the Mann-Kendall trend inspection method was used to study the mutual response law of groundwater level and river water level.The machine learning algorithm was applied and the response characteristics of the two were used for timing prediction.The results showed that among the four groups of sites selected,regardless of whether the groundwater monitoring stations were along the river or not,the river water level and the groundwater level response law were similar,the average accuracy of groundwater level prediction was greater than 90%,the minimum accuracy of a single station was 83%,the peak fit was good,and there were good application prospects.By summarizing the response patterns of groundwater levels to river water levels,modeling and predicting the timing changes of groundwater levels will help measure the accuracy of regional groundwater observation data.

关键词

地下水位/响应特征/机器学习/长短期记忆网络/时序预测

Key words

Groundwater level/response characteristics/machine learning/long and short-term memory networks/timing prediction

分类

地球科学

引用本文复制引用

郭天辰,钱睿智,刘海婧,张艺铭,朱晓跃..地下水位对河水位的响应暨时序预测分析[J].陕西水利,2025,(5):22-24,28,4.

陕西水利

1673-9000

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