中国生态农业学报（中英文）2025，Vol.33Issue(5)：858-871,14.DOI:10.12357/cjea.20240556
甘南黄河水源补给区畜牧业碳排放驱动因素及脱钩效应分析
Driving factors and decoupling effects of animal husbandry carbon emissions in the Yellow River water supply area of Gannan
摘要
Abstract
In order to determine the driving factors and decoupling effect of carbon emissions from the livestock industry under the goal of"double carbon",we used the LMDI(Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index)model to decompose the driving factors,and the Ta-pio decoupling model to analyze the decoupling between the driving factors and carbon emissions from the livestock industry to as-sess the decoupling efforts.The results revealed that from 2000 to 2022,carbon emissions from animal husbandry in the Yellow River water supply area of Gannan ranged from 53.690×104 to 114.808×104t,with an average annual growth rate of 1.72％.In the purely pastoral counties of Maqu,Xiahe,and Luqu,emissions from livestock accounted for the majority of carbon emissions.In addition,economic development and population size were identified as important driving forces for the increase in carbon emissions from an-imal husbandry,and showing a"U"evolution trend.The intensity of animal husbandry,industrial structure,and urbanization were considered as the main factors contributing to the development of low-carbon animal husbandry.Furthermore,the intensity of animal husbandry production and urbanization factors were identified as being conducive to carbon decoupling,whereas economic develop-ment and population growth factors mainly had the inhibitory effect of carbon decoupling,and in most years,factors associated with livestock production structure were found to have a promotional effect on carbon decoupling.During a majority of the investigation period,it was found that sub-decoupling effort indices corresponding to the industrial structure of the livestock industry and the in-tensity of the livestock industry were positive,indicating that these were the main factors contributing to"decoupling"of the carbon emissions of the livestock industry in the study area.On the basis of these findings,with respect to promoting the ecologically ration-al development of the animal husbandry industry in the recharge zone,we recommend encouraging the low-carbon green transforma-tion of traditional animal husbandry in terms of the transformation of the high-carbon production mode,optimization of the industrial structure,and technological innovation of low-carbon livestock production.关键词
畜牧业/碳排放/LMDI模型/脱钩/甘南黄河水源补给区Key words
animal husbandry/carbon emission/LMDI model/decoupling/the Yellow River water supply area of Gannan分类
经济学引用本文复制引用
陈强强,李晓榕..甘南黄河水源补给区畜牧业碳排放驱动因素及脱钩效应分析[J].中国生态农业学报（中英文）,2025,33(5):858-871,14.基金项目
国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BJY117)、甘肃农业大学青年导师基金项目(GAU-QDFC-2022-20)和甘肃省创新之星项目(2023CXZX-662)资助 This study was supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China(21BJY117),the Youth Mentor Fund Project of Gansu Agricultural University(GAU-QDFC-2022-20),and the Innovation Star Project of Gansu Province(2023CXZX-662). （21BJY117）
